Republicans' narrow House majority, solidified after the 2024 elections, gives them control to prevent impeachment votes against President-elect Trump during his upcoming term from January 20, 2025, to 2029, yet trader consensus implies 58% odds of House impeachment proceedings advancing. Recent Democratic actions, including Rep. Dan Goldman's December 17 impeachment resolution alleging obstruction of Congress over withheld January 6 records and prior filings by Reps. Al Green and Shri Thanedar on emoluments and incitement claims, have spurred market movement despite Speaker Mike Johnson's vows of GOP unity. Traders factor in Trump's history of two prior impeachments, potential early controversies from cabinet picks or policy clashes, and risks of Republican defections, with the 119th Congress convening January 3 amid heightened uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
NEW
NEW
Jan 20, 2029
NEW
NEW
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Объем
$4,278Дата окончания
Jan 20, 2029Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Объем
$4,278Дата окончания
Jan 20, 2029Открытие рынка
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republicans' narrow House majority, solidified after the 2024 elections, gives them control to prevent impeachment votes against President-elect Trump during his upcoming term from January 20, 2025, to 2029, yet trader consensus implies 58% odds of House impeachment proceedings advancing. Recent Democratic actions, including Rep. Dan Goldman's December 17 impeachment resolution alleging obstruction of Congress over withheld January 6 records and prior filings by Reps. Al Green and Shri Thanedar on emoluments and incitement claims, have spurred market movement despite Speaker Mike Johnson's vows of GOP unity. Traders factor in Trump's history of two prior impeachments, potential early controversies from cabinet picks or policy clashes, and risks of Republican defections, with the 119th Congress convening January 3 amid heightened uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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