Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a narrow 51.5% implied probability for U.S. Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) facing federal charges by June 30, driven by ongoing House Ethics Committee scrutiny over his 2022 primary endorsements and alleged campaign finance issues, alongside unconfirmed reports of a DOJ probe into related conduct. The competitive balance stems from no formal indictment announcements despite partisan complaints filed earlier this year, balanced against historical delays in congressional ethics cases, where only a fraction result in charges. Recent primary loss in March has intensified pressure, but lack of primary-source confirmations keeps odds tight. A grand jury subpoena or official DOJ statement could surge Yes shares, while committee clearance or inaction might drop them sharply toward No.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzalez between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzalez between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzalez between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzalez between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzalez between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of U.S. Representative Tony Gonzalez between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 25, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a narrow 51.5% implied probability for U.S. Rep. Tony Gonzales (R-TX) facing federal charges by June 30, driven by ongoing House Ethics Committee scrutiny over his 2022 primary endorsements and alleged campaign finance issues, alongside unconfirmed reports of a DOJ probe into related conduct. The competitive balance stems from no formal indictment announcements despite partisan complaints filed earlier this year, balanced against historical delays in congressional ethics cases, where only a fraction result in charges. Recent primary loss in March has intensified pressure, but lack of primary-source confirmations keeps odds tight. A grand jury subpoena or official DOJ statement could surge Yes shares, while committee clearance or inaction might drop them sharply toward No.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы