President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоNEW
Jun 30, 2026
Том Тиллис
90%
Элизабет Уоррен
4%
Берни Сандерс
2%
Чак Шумер
14%
Лиза Мурковски
70%
Кевин Крамер
92%
Джон Кеннеди
90%
$5,023 Объем
Том Тиллис
$0 Объем
90%
Элизабет Уоррен
$0 Объем
4%
Берни Сандерс
$3,072 Объем
2%
Чак Шумер
$0 Объем
14%
Лиза Мурковски
$90 Объем
70%
Кевин Крамер
$0 Объем
92%
Джон Кеннеди
$1,861 Объем
90%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Объем
$5,023Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed Senator votes “Yea” on the first final U.S. Senate confirmation vote on the nomination of Kevin Warsh to be Chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$5,023Дата окончания
Jun 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President-elect Donald Trump has not yet nominated Kevin Warsh, a former Federal Reserve Governor known for hawkish monetary policy views, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair when his term expires in May 2026. Recent reports highlight Warsh's meetings with Trump transition officials and endorsements from Republican allies favoring aggressive rate cuts, positioning him as a leading contender amid Trump's public criticism of Powell. Senate confirmation requires a simple majority; Republicans' 53-47 edge post-2024 elections offers a favorable path, though Democratic opposition over independence concerns could prompt holdouts. Traders eye a potential announcement before January 20 inauguration, with confirmation hearings likely in the new Congress, drawing on historical patterns where nominees like Powell faced minimal resistance despite partisanship.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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