President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as next Federal Reserve Chair, transmitted to the Senate on March 4, 2026, remains stalled amid Sen. Thom Tillis's blockade of all Fed nominations pending resolution of a DOJ probe into outgoing Chair Jerome Powell, whose term expires May 15. Tillis, a Banking Committee member, demands the investigation conclude before advancing nominees, creating uncertainty despite Republican Senate control favoring confirmation. No hearing is scheduled, and Powell has stated no intention of leaving the board early. Traders watch for probe outcomes, committee dynamics, and floor vote prospects, with historical Fed chairs typically confirmed via simple majority absent major opposition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоТом Тиллис
90%
Элизабет Уоррен
6%
Берни Сандерс
3%
Чак Шумер
15%
Лиза Мурковски
70%
Кевин Крамер
87%
Джон Кеннеди
90%
$5,033 Объем
Том Тиллис
90%
Элизабет Уоррен
6%
Берни Сандерс
3%
Чак Шумер
15%
Лиза Мурковски
70%
Кевин Крамер
87%
Джон Кеннеди
90%
The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Jan 30, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The vote refers to the first final confirmation vote on the nomination in the full chamber, not including committee votes or procedural motions.
If the nomination passes unanimously or without individual voting (e.g. a voice vote), this market will resolve to “Yes”. If the nomination is rejected unanimously or without individual voting, this market will resolve to “No”.
If no qualifying vote is held by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If a formally submitted nomination is withdrawn or returned to the President before reaching a final confirmation vote, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The resolution sources will be official Senate voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's formal nomination of former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh as next Federal Reserve Chair, transmitted to the Senate on March 4, 2026, remains stalled amid Sen. Thom Tillis's blockade of all Fed nominations pending resolution of a DOJ probe into outgoing Chair Jerome Powell, whose term expires May 15. Tillis, a Banking Committee member, demands the investigation conclude before advancing nominees, creating uncertainty despite Republican Senate control favoring confirmation. No hearing is scheduled, and Powell has stated no intention of leaving the board early. Traders watch for probe outcomes, committee dynamics, and floor vote prospects, with historical Fed chairs typically confirmed via simple majority absent major opposition.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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