Market icon

Победитель выборов в Берлин

Market icon

Победитель выборов в Берлин

ХДС 54%

АдГ 13.9%

Левица 14%

Зелёные 10.0%

Polymarket

$682,286 Объем

ХДС 54%

АдГ 13.9%

Левица 14%

Зелёные 10.0%

Polymarket

$682,286 Объем

Market icon

ХДС

$8,210 Объем

54%

Market icon

АдГ

$358,093 Объем

14%

Market icon

Левица

$7,824 Объем

14%

Market icon

Зелёные

$22,086 Объем

10%

Market icon

СДПГ

$268,350 Объем

10%

Market icon

BSW

$5,693 Объем

1%

Market icon

СвДП

$7,674 Объем

<1%

Market icon

FW

$4,557 Объем

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) Traders heavily favor CDU at 53.5% to win the most seats in Berlin's state election on February 23, 2025, a re-run mandated by the Federal Constitutional Court after widespread disruptions invalidated much of the 2023 vote. Recent polls, including an Insa survey from mid-January showing CDU at 32%, AfD at 19%, SPD at 16%, Grüne at 13%, and Linke at 11%, underscore CDU's commanding lead under incumbent Mayor Kai Wegner, bolstered by its coalition governance record on migration, housing shortages, and public safety amid Berlin's urban challenges. Fragmented opposition—split across SPD, Grüne, and Linke following prior red-red-green instability—limits challengers, while AfD gains from anti-immigration sentiment but trails far behind. With campaign debates underway, voter turnout in this proportional representation system could tip margins in closely watched battlegrounds.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.

If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Объем
$682,286
Дата окончания
Sep 20, 2026
Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/) Traders heavily favor CDU at 53.5% to win the most seats in Berlin's state election on February 23, 2025, a re-run mandated by the Federal Constitutional Court after widespread disruptions invalidated much of the 2023 vote. Recent polls, including an Insa survey from mid-January showing CDU at 32%, AfD at 19%, SPD at 16%, Grüne at 13%, and Linke at 11%, underscore CDU's commanding lead under incumbent Mayor Kai Wegner, bolstered by its coalition governance record on migration, housing shortages, and public safety amid Berlin's urban challenges. Fragmented opposition—split across SPD, Grüne, and Linke following prior red-red-green instability—limits challengers, while AfD gains from anti-immigration sentiment but trails far behind. With campaign debates underway, voter turnout in this proportional representation system could tip margins in closely watched battlegrounds.

Traders heavily favor CDU at 53.5% to win the most seats in Berlin's state election on February 23, 2025, a re-run mandated by the Federal Constitutional Court after widespread disruptions invalidated much of the 2023 vote. Recent polls, including an Insa survey from mid-January showing CDU at 32%, AfD at 19%, SPD at 16%, Grüne at 13%, and Linke at 11%, underscore CDU's commanding lead under incumbent Mayor Kai Wegner, bolstered by its coalition governance record on migration, housing shortages, and public safety amid Berlin's urban challenges. Fragmented opposition—split across SPD, Grüne, and Linke following prior red-red-green instability—limits challengers, while AfD gains from anti-immigration sentiment but trails far behind. With campaign debates underway, voter turnout in this proportional representation system could tip margins in closely watched battlegrounds.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Берлин» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 8 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «ХДС» с 54%, за ним следует «АдГ» с 14%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 54¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Берлин» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $682.3K с момента запуска рынка Dec 2, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Берлин», просмотри 8 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Берлин» — «ХДС» с 54%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 54%. Следующий ближайший исход — «АдГ» с 14%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Берлин» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.