Traders heavily favor CDU at 53.5% to win the most seats in Berlin's state election on February 23, 2025, a re-run mandated by the Federal Constitutional Court after widespread disruptions invalidated much of the 2023 vote. Recent polls, including an Insa survey from mid-January showing CDU at 32%, AfD at 19%, SPD at 16%, Grüne at 13%, and Linke at 11%, underscore CDU's commanding lead under incumbent Mayor Kai Wegner, bolstered by its coalition governance record on migration, housing shortages, and public safety amid Berlin's urban challenges. Fragmented opposition—split across SPD, Grüne, and Linke following prior red-red-green instability—limits challengers, while AfD gains from anti-immigration sentiment but trails far behind. With campaign debates underway, voter turnout in this proportional representation system could tip margins in closely watched battlegrounds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Берлин
Победитель выборов в Берлин
ХДС 54%
АдГ 13.9%
Левица 14%
Зелёные 10.0%
$682,286 Объем
$682,286 Объем
Sep 20, 2026
ХДС
54%
АдГ
14%
Левица
14%
Зелёные
10%
СДПГ
10%
BSW
1%
СвДП
<1%
FW
<1%
ХДС 54%
АдГ 13.9%
Левица 14%
Зелёные 10.0%
$682,286 Объем
$682,286 Объем
Sep 20, 2026
ХДС
$8,210 Объем
54%
АдГ
$358,093 Объем
14%
Левица
$7,824 Объем
14%
Зелёные
$22,086 Объем
10%
СДПГ
$268,350 Объем
10%
BSW
$5,693 Объем
1%
СвДП
$7,674 Объем
<1%
FW
$4,557 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Traders heavily favor CDU at 53.5% to win the most seats in Berlin's state election on February 23, 2025, a re-run mandated by the Federal Constitutional Court after widespread disruptions invalidated much of the 2023 vote. Recent polls, including an Insa survey from mid-January showing CDU at 32%, AfD at 19%, SPD at 16%, Grüne at 13%, and Linke at 11%, underscore CDU's commanding lead under incumbent Mayor Kai Wegner, bolstered by its coalition governance record on migration, housing shortages, and public safety amid Berlin's urban challenges. Fragmented opposition—split across SPD, Grüne, and Linke following prior red-red-green instability—limits challengers, while AfD gains from anti-immigration sentiment but trails far behind. With campaign debates underway, voter turnout in this proportional representation system could tip margins in closely watched battlegrounds.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ET
Объем
$682,286Дата окончания
Sep 20, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Traders heavily favor CDU at 53.5% to win the most seats in Berlin's state election on February 23, 2025, a re-run mandated by the Federal Constitutional Court after widespread disruptions invalidated much of the 2023 vote. Recent polls, including an Insa survey from mid-January showing CDU at 32%, AfD at 19%, SPD at 16%, Grüne at 13%, and Linke at 11%, underscore CDU's commanding lead under incumbent Mayor Kai Wegner, bolstered by its coalition governance record on migration, housing shortages, and public safety amid Berlin's urban challenges. Fragmented opposition—split across SPD, Grüne, and Linke following prior red-red-green instability—limits challengers, while AfD gains from anti-immigration sentiment but trails far behind. With campaign debates underway, voter turnout in this proportional representation system could tip margins in closely watched battlegrounds.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Объем
$682,286Дата окончания
Sep 20, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 6:34 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders heavily favor CDU at 53.5% to win the most seats in Berlin's state election on February 23, 2025, a re-run mandated by the Federal Constitutional Court after widespread disruptions invalidated much of the 2023 vote. Recent polls, including an Insa survey from mid-January showing CDU at 32%, AfD at 19%, SPD at 16%, Grüne at 13%, and Linke at 11%, underscore CDU's commanding lead under incumbent Mayor Kai Wegner, bolstered by its coalition governance record on migration, housing shortages, and public safety amid Berlin's urban challenges. Fragmented opposition—split across SPD, Grüne, and Linke following prior red-red-green instability—limits challengers, while AfD gains from anti-immigration sentiment but trails far behind. With campaign debates underway, voter turnout in this proportional representation system could tip margins in closely watched battlegrounds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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