Trader consensus heavily favors the CDU for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, reflecting consistent opinion polls showing the AfD leading at 38% versus CDU at 25%—a 13-point gap—in the latest INSA survey from late March. Die Linke trails at 13%, with SPD at 6%, BSW at 5%, Grüne at 4%, and FDP at 3%, none mounting a credible challenge to CDU's runner-up position amid stable trends over the past month. Recent polls confirm no significant shifts following Sven Schulze's January installation as CDU-led Ministerpräsident, underscoring AfD's dominance in this eastern state under proportional representation, though late campaign dynamics or turnout in battleground districts could narrow gaps.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоХДС 88%
AfD 9%
Зелёные 2.3%
BSW 1.8%
$39,830 Объем
$39,830 Объем

ХДС
88%

AfD
9%

Зелёные
2%

BSW
2%

СДПГ
1%

Левая
1%

СвДП
1%
ХДС 88%
AfD 9%
Зелёные 2.3%
BSW 1.8%
$39,830 Объем
$39,830 Объем

ХДС
88%

AfD
9%

Зелёные
2%

BSW
2%

СДПГ
1%

Левая
1%

СвДП
1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors the CDU for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, reflecting consistent opinion polls showing the AfD leading at 38% versus CDU at 25%—a 13-point gap—in the latest INSA survey from late March. Die Linke trails at 13%, with SPD at 6%, BSW at 5%, Grüne at 4%, and FDP at 3%, none mounting a credible challenge to CDU's runner-up position amid stable trends over the past month. Recent polls confirm no significant shifts following Sven Schulze's January installation as CDU-led Ministerpräsident, underscoring AfD's dominance in this eastern state under proportional representation, though late campaign dynamics or turnout in battleground districts could narrow gaps.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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