Polymarket traders overwhelmingly back AfD (89.5%) to win the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, reflecting its dominant position in recent Sonntagsfragen amid proportional representation and a 5% Sperrklausel. The latest INSA poll (March 25) shows AfD steady at 38%—double CDU's 25%—projecting 36 seats for AfD versus 24 for CDU, with Die Linke rising to 13% but the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition falling below majority thresholds. AfD's lead persists post-CDU leadership change to Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze in January, fueled by eastern voter priorities on migration and economy; upsets would require scandals or polling reversals before summer campaign peaks. CDU trails at 9% implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт
Победитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт
АдГ 90%
ХДС 9.0%
Левая партия <1%
СДПГ <1%
$468,499 Объем
$468,499 Объем
Sep 6, 2026
АдГ
90%
ХДС
9%
Левая партия
1%
СДПГ
1%
СвДП
<1%
Зелёные
<1%
BSW
<1%
АдГ 90%
ХДС 9.0%
Левая партия <1%
СДПГ <1%
$468,499 Объем
$468,499 Объем
Sep 6, 2026
АдГ
$4,801 Объем
90%
ХДС
$461,824 Объем
9%
Левая партия
$1,874 Объем
1%
СДПГ
$0 Объем
1%
СвДП
$0 Объем
<1%
Зелёные
$0 Объем
<1%
BSW
$0 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Polymarket traders overwhelmingly back AfD (89.5%) to win the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, reflecting its dominant position in recent Sonntagsfragen amid proportional representation and a 5% Sperrklausel. The latest INSA poll (March 25) shows AfD steady at 38%—double CDU's 25%—projecting 36 seats for AfD versus 24 for CDU, with Die Linke rising to 13% but the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition falling below majority thresholds. AfD's lead persists post-CDU leadership change to Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze in January, fueled by eastern voter priorities on migration and economy; upsets would require scandals or polling reversals before summer campaign peaks. CDU trails at 9% implied probability.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Объем
$468,499Дата окончания
Sep 6, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Polymarket traders overwhelmingly back AfD (89.5%) to win the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, reflecting its dominant position in recent Sonntagsfragen amid proportional representation and a 5% Sperrklausel. The latest INSA poll (March 25) shows AfD steady at 38%—double CDU's 25%—projecting 36 seats for AfD versus 24 for CDU, with Die Linke rising to 13% but the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition falling below majority thresholds. AfD's lead persists post-CDU leadership change to Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze in January, fueled by eastern voter priorities on migration and economy; upsets would require scandals or polling reversals before summer campaign peaks. CDU trails at 9% implied probability.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Объем
$468,499Дата окончания
Sep 6, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly back AfD (89.5%) to win the most seats in Sachsen-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, reflecting its dominant position in recent Sonntagsfragen amid proportional representation and a 5% Sperrklausel. The latest INSA poll (March 25) shows AfD steady at 38%—double CDU's 25%—projecting 36 seats for AfD versus 24 for CDU, with Die Linke rising to 13% but the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition falling below majority thresholds. AfD's lead persists post-CDU leadership change to Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze in January, fueled by eastern voter priorities on migration and economy; upsets would require scandals or polling reversals before summer campaign peaks. CDU trails at 9% implied probability.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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