Recent polling indicates Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan holds a narrow first-preference lead in the Dublin Central by-election, yet traders assign Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats the strongest probability of victory. This positioning stems from Ireland’s single transferable vote system, where Ennis is expected to attract the bulk of transfers from eliminated left-leaning candidates including those of the Green Party, Labour, and People Before Profit. Gerry Hutch’s independent candidacy sits third on first preferences but remains a distant market contender, with his later transfers unlikely to alter the front-runner dynamic decisively. The May 22 contest remains fluid given the fragmented field and typical volatility in by-election turnout patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель дополнительных выборов Дублин-Центральный
Победитель дополнительных выборов Дублин-Центральный
Даниэль Эннис 68%
Джанис Бойлан 19.1%
Джерри Хатч 11.6%
Рэй МакАдам 1.7%
$1,087,222 Объем
$1,087,222 Объем
Даниэль Эннис
68%
Джанис Бойлан
19%
Джерри Хатч
12%
Рэй МакАдам
2%
Джанет Хорнер
1%
Джиллиан Шерратт
1%
Малаки Стинсон
1%
Иэн Ноэль Смит
<1%
Оэн О Кяннавайн
<1%
Шемас МакГраттан
<1%
Мэри Фицпатрик
<1%
Джон Стивенс
<1%
Даниэль Эннис 68%
Джанис Бойлан 19.1%
Джерри Хатч 11.6%
Рэй МакАдам 1.7%
$1,087,222 Объем
$1,087,222 Объем
Даниэль Эннис
68%
Джанис Бойлан
19%
Джерри Хатч
12%
Рэй МакАдам
2%
Джанет Хорнер
1%
Джиллиан Шерратт
1%
Малаки Стинсон
1%
Иэн Ноэль Смит
<1%
Оэн О Кяннавайн
<1%
Шемас МакГраттан
<1%
Мэри Фицпатрик
<1%
Джон Стивенс
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 12:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the by-election for this Dublin-Central seat in the Irish Dáil Éireann.
If voting does not take place in this election or the election results are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official election results published by the Irish government, specifically the Irish parliament or “Oireachtas” (https://www.oireachtas.ie/en/elections/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling indicates Sinn Féin’s Janice Boylan holds a narrow first-preference lead in the Dublin Central by-election, yet traders assign Daniel Ennis of the Social Democrats the strongest probability of victory. This positioning stems from Ireland’s single transferable vote system, where Ennis is expected to attract the bulk of transfers from eliminated left-leaning candidates including those of the Green Party, Labour, and People Before Profit. Gerry Hutch’s independent candidacy sits third on first preferences but remains a distant market contender, with his later transfers unlikely to alter the front-runner dynamic decisively. The May 22 contest remains fluid given the fragmented field and typical volatility in by-election turnout patterns.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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