Republican Senate control following the 2024 elections and Mitch McConnell's retirement from leadership have centered trader focus on the GOP conference's upcoming vote for the next Majority Leader, scheduled for mid-November 2024, keeping odds tightly clustered around 37-40% for frontrunners like Mark Kelly, Cory Booker, Patty Murray, Tom Cotton, Chuck Schumer, John Barrasso, and John Thune. Recent developments, including John Cornyn's withdrawal and endorsement of Thune, alongside Rick Scott's challenge, highlight internal divisions between establishment figures and Trump-aligned senators, preventing clear separation. Potential catalysts include Donald Trump's endorsements, additional withdrawals, or confidential straw polls, while Democratic contenders reflect trader hedging on GOP majority risks or future flips.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоMark Kelly 41%
Cory Booker 40%
Patty Murray 40%
Tom Cotton 39%
$17,938 Объем
$17,938 Объем

Mark Kelly
41%

Cory Booker
40%

Patty Murray
40%

Tom Cotton
39%

John Barrasso
39%

Chuck Schumer
38%

John Thune
38%

Amy Klobuchar
38%

Brian Schatz
37%

Lindsey Graham
37%

Steve Daines
28%
Mark Kelly 41%
Cory Booker 40%
Patty Murray 40%
Tom Cotton 39%
$17,938 Объем
$17,938 Объем

Mark Kelly
41%

Cory Booker
40%

Patty Murray
40%

Tom Cotton
39%

John Barrasso
39%

Chuck Schumer
38%

John Thune
38%

Amy Klobuchar
38%

Brian Schatz
37%

Lindsey Graham
37%

Steve Daines
28%
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Republican Senate control following the 2024 elections and Mitch McConnell's retirement from leadership have centered trader focus on the GOP conference's upcoming vote for the next Majority Leader, scheduled for mid-November 2024, keeping odds tightly clustered around 37-40% for frontrunners like Mark Kelly, Cory Booker, Patty Murray, Tom Cotton, Chuck Schumer, John Barrasso, and John Thune. Recent developments, including John Cornyn's withdrawal and endorsement of Thune, alongside Rick Scott's challenge, highlight internal divisions between establishment figures and Trump-aligned senators, preventing clear separation. Potential catalysts include Donald Trump's endorsements, additional withdrawals, or confidential straw polls, while Democratic contenders reflect trader hedging on GOP majority risks or future flips.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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