Republican Senate leadership dynamics after Mitch McConnell’s 2025 departure continue to shape trader views on the next majority leader, with John Thune holding a narrow edge at 27 percent amid ongoing internal party positioning. Chuck Schumer’s 23 percent share reflects Democratic expectations of regaining the chamber in the 2026 midterms, while Tom Cotton at 14.5 percent draws support from senators favoring a more assertive conservative approach. The tight spread among the top four contenders stems from uncertainty over post-2026 Senate control, potential retirements, and shifting alliances within both conferences. Upcoming confirmation votes, budget negotiations, and any health or retirement announcements could quickly widen or narrow these probabilities as traders reassess paths to the gavel.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДжон Тун 28%
Чак Шумер 23%
Том Коттон 14.6%
Брайан Шац 10%
$63,477 Объем
$63,477 Объем

Джон Тун
28%

Чак Шумер
23%

Том Коттон
15%

Брайан Шац
10%

Кори Букер
4%

Эми Клобушар
3%

Джон Баррассо
3%

Стив Дэйнс
2%

Линдси Грэм
2%

Пэтти Мюррей
1%

Марк Келли
1%
Джон Тун 28%
Чак Шумер 23%
Том Коттон 14.6%
Брайан Шац 10%
$63,477 Объем
$63,477 Объем

Джон Тун
28%

Чак Шумер
23%

Том Коттон
15%

Брайан Шац
10%

Кори Букер
4%

Эми Клобушар
3%

Джон Баррассо
3%

Стив Дэйнс
2%

Линдси Грэм
2%

Пэтти Мюррей
1%

Марк Келли
1%
This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.
If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Republican Senate leadership dynamics after Mitch McConnell’s 2025 departure continue to shape trader views on the next majority leader, with John Thune holding a narrow edge at 27 percent amid ongoing internal party positioning. Chuck Schumer’s 23 percent share reflects Democratic expectations of regaining the chamber in the 2026 midterms, while Tom Cotton at 14.5 percent draws support from senators favoring a more assertive conservative approach. The tight spread among the top four contenders stems from uncertainty over post-2026 Senate control, potential retirements, and shifting alliances within both conferences. Upcoming confirmation votes, budget negotiations, and any health or retirement announcements could quickly widen or narrow these probabilities as traders reassess paths to the gavel.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы