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icon for Какие сенатские гонки будут в пределах 5%?

Какие сенатские гонки будут в пределах 5%?

icon for Какие сенатские гонки будут в пределах 5%?

Какие сенатские гонки будут в пределах 5%?

$61,959 Объем

3 нояб. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$61,959 Объем

Polymarket

Техас

$7,129 Объем

84%

Kansas

$507 Объем

77%

Аляска

$2,789 Объем

70%

Айова

$5,606 Объем

61%

Огайо (Специальные)

$3,866 Объем

57%

Мичиган

$2,675 Объем

54%

Мэн

$1,020 Объем

59%

Нью-Гэмпшир

$2,326 Объем

68%

Небраска

$3,630 Объем

41%

South Carolina

$109 Объем

40%

Джорджия

$1,383 Объем

28%

Флорида (специальные)

$2,355 Объем

26%

Миннесота

$9,715 Объем

23%

Северная Каролина

$5,544 Объем

16%

Нью-Мексико

$6,665 Объем

12%

Монтана

$2,759 Объем

11%

Вирджиния

$1,344 Объем

5%

Колорадо

$2,543 Объем

4%

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent primaries have finalized candidate fields across key battlegrounds, sharpening focus on a handful of Senate contests projected as toss-ups by aggregators like RealClearPolitics and forecasters. Open seats in North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire, combined with retirements and candidate switches such as in Maine, have tightened several races amid a narrow path for Democrats to net the four seats needed for majority control. Polling shows close margins in Maine and Michigan, while states like Alaska, Ohio, Iowa, and Texas feature competitive dynamics influenced by incumbency advantages, state partisan leans, and turnout patterns. Upcoming events include Delaware's final primary and the November general election, where voter mobilization in these battlegrounds will determine which contests finish within five points.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.

The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$61,959
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent primaries have finalized candidate fields across key battlegrounds, sharpening focus on a handful of Senate contests projected as toss-ups by aggregators like RealClearPolitics and forecasters. Open seats in North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire, combined with retirements and candidate switches such as in Maine, have tightened several races amid a narrow path for Democrats to net the four seats needed for majority control. Polling shows close margins in Maine and Michigan, while states like Alaska, Ohio, Iowa, and Texas feature competitive dynamics influenced by incumbency advantages, state partisan leans, and turnout patterns. Upcoming events include Delaware's final primary and the November general election, where voter mobilization in these battlegrounds will determine which contests finish within five points.

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.

The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined. The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$61,959
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Какие сенатские гонки будут в пределах 5%?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 18 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Техас» с 84%, за ним следует «Kansas» с 77%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 84¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 84%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Какие сенатские гонки будут в пределах 5%?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $62K с момента запуска рынка Jul 29, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Какие сенатские гонки будут в пределах 5%?», просмотри 18 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Какие сенатские гонки будут в пределах 5%?» — «Техас» с 84%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 84%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Kansas» с 77%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Какие сенатские гонки будут в пределах 5%?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.