Senator John Fetterman has repeatedly stated he has no plans to leave the Democratic Party and will continue caucusing with Democrats, including as a potential pivotal vote if the Senate majority shifts after the November 2026 midterms. Recent tensions stem from his strong support for Israel, criticism of progressive primary winners and democratic socialists, and appearances alongside Republicans such as a September 2026 video at the GOP midterm convention introducing Sen. Dave McCormick. A Wall Street Journal report on his Senate attendance and constituent interactions intensified intraparty criticism, while Pennsylvania polls show sharply lower favorability among Democrats than Republicans. Fetterman has identified an official Democratic platform opposing Israel aid as a potential “red line” but has emphasized alignment with the party on abortion rights, labor, and other core issues, with his term running through 2028.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$11,619 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
2 ноября 2026 г.
6%
31 декабря 2026 года
11%
$11,619 Объем
2 ноября 2026 г.
$8,045 Объем
6%
31 декабря 2026 года
$2,303 Объем
11%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Senator John Fetterman has repeatedly stated he has no plans to leave the Democratic Party and will continue caucusing with Democrats, including as a potential pivotal vote if the Senate majority shifts after the November 2026 midterms. Recent tensions stem from his strong support for Israel, criticism of progressive primary winners and democratic socialists, and appearances alongside Republicans such as a September 2026 video at the GOP midterm convention introducing Sen. Dave McCormick. A Wall Street Journal report on his Senate attendance and constituent interactions intensified intraparty criticism, while Pennsylvania polls show sharply lower favorability among Democrats than Republicans. Fetterman has identified an official Democratic platform opposing Israel aid as a potential “red line” but has emphasized alignment with the party on abortion rights, labor, and other core issues, with his term running through 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jul 21, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Объем
$11,619Дата окончания
2 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 21, 2026, 2:51 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Senator John Fetterman has repeatedly stated he has no plans to leave the Democratic Party and will continue caucusing with Democrats, including as a potential pivotal vote if the Senate majority shifts after the November 2026 midterms. Recent tensions stem from his strong support for Israel, criticism of progressive primary winners and democratic socialists, and appearances alongside Republicans such as a September 2026 video at the GOP midterm convention introducing Sen. Dave McCormick. A Wall Street Journal report on his Senate attendance and constituent interactions intensified intraparty criticism, while Pennsylvania polls show sharply lower favorability among Democrats than Republicans. Fetterman has identified an official Democratic platform opposing Israel aid as a potential “red line” but has emphasized alignment with the party on abortion rights, labor, and other core issues, with his term running through 2028.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Fetterman officially announces that he is leaving, or formally leaves, the Democratic Party by November 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Announcements from Fetterman that he will join the Republican Party, become an independent, join another political party, or otherwise cease to be a member of the Democratic Party will qualify. A consensus of credible reporting that Fetterman has formally left the Democratic Party will also suffice.
Statements criticizing the Democratic Party, voting with Republicans, endorsing Republican candidates, describing himself as bipartisan or independent-minded, or expressing disagreement with Democratic Party positions will not qualify unless accompanied by an official announcement that he is leaving the Democratic Party or a consensus of credible reporting that he has formally left the Democratic Party.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from John Fetterman; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$11,619Дата окончания
2 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 21, 2026, 2:51 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Senator John Fetterman has repeatedly stated he has no plans to leave the Democratic Party and will continue caucusing with Democrats, including as a potential pivotal vote if the Senate majority shifts after the November 2026 midterms. Recent tensions stem from his strong support for Israel, criticism of progressive primary winners and democratic socialists, and appearances alongside Republicans such as a September 2026 video at the GOP midterm convention introducing Sen. Dave McCormick. A Wall Street Journal report on his Senate attendance and constituent interactions intensified intraparty criticism, while Pennsylvania polls show sharply lower favorability among Democrats than Republicans. Fetterman has identified an official Democratic platform opposing Israel aid as a potential “red line” but has emphasized alignment with the party on abortion rights, labor, and other core issues, with his term running through 2028.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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