With the first-round vote count from Peru's April 12-13 general election still ongoing amid logistical delays, ballot shortages, and irregularities prompting investigations into ONPE leadership, trader consensus heavily favors "Other" at 82% as no clear top-two pairing has emerged. Keiko Fujimori leads with around 17% of tabulated votes, but a tight contest for second—between Roberto Sánchez (12%), Rafael López Aliaga (11%), and Jorge Nieto—fragments probabilities across unlisted combinations. Pre-election polls had positioned Fujimori and López Aliaga as frontrunners, sustaining their 16.5% pairing odds, though Sánchez's surge and potential nullity challenges heighten uncertainty ahead of the June 7 runoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДругое 81.9%
Лопес Алиага и Фухимори 16%
Фухимори и Нието <1%
Лопес Алиага и Лопес Чау <1%
$1,075,821 Объем
$1,075,821 Объем
Другое
82%
Лопес Алиага и Фухимори
16%
Фухимори и Нието
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Лопес Чау
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Ньето
<1%
Лопес Чау и Фухимори
<1%
Лопес Чау и Нието
<1%
Лопес Чау и Санчес Паломино
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Санчес Паломино
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Грозо
<1%
Другое 81.9%
Лопес Алиага и Фухимори 16%
Фухимори и Нието <1%
Лопес Алиага и Лопес Чау <1%
$1,075,821 Объем
$1,075,821 Объем
Другое
82%
Лопес Алиага и Фухимори
16%
Фухимори и Нието
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Лопес Чау
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Ньето
<1%
Лопес Чау и Фухимори
<1%
Лопес Чау и Нието
<1%
Лопес Чау и Санчес Паломино
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Санчес Паломино
<1%
Лопес Алиага и Грозо
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...With the first-round vote count from Peru's April 12-13 general election still ongoing amid logistical delays, ballot shortages, and irregularities prompting investigations into ONPE leadership, trader consensus heavily favors "Other" at 82% as no clear top-two pairing has emerged. Keiko Fujimori leads with around 17% of tabulated votes, but a tight contest for second—between Roberto Sánchez (12%), Rafael López Aliaga (11%), and Jorge Nieto—fragments probabilities across unlisted combinations. Pre-election polls had positioned Fujimori and López Aliaga as frontrunners, sustaining their 16.5% pairing odds, though Sánchez's surge and potential nullity challenges heighten uncertainty ahead of the June 7 runoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы