Trader sentiment on the 2026 Peru presidential runoff heavily favors Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advancing together at 50.5%, reflecting recent polls where they consistently poll in the top two amid a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates, none exceeding 12-15% support. Ipsos and Datum surveys from late 2024 show Fujimori at 11-13% and López Aliaga at 9-11%, with challengers like López Chau and Sánchez Palomino hovering at 5-8%, keeping alternative pairings viable around 40%. The race stays tight due to volatile voter preferences, ongoing protests against President Boluarte's administration, economic stagnation, and no dominant frontrunner; separation could emerge from candidate registrations by December 2024, major endorsements, or fresh polling ahead of the April 2026 first round.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоLópez Aliaga & Fujimori 51%
López Aliaga & López Chau 41%
Other 41%
López Chau & Fujimori 41%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
51%
López Aliaga & López Chau
41%
Other
41%
López Chau & Fujimori
41%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
40%
Fujimori & Nieto
40%
López Aliaga & Nieto
39%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
39%
López Aliaga & Grozo
39%
López Chau & Nieto
36%
López Aliaga & Fujimori 51%
López Aliaga & López Chau 41%
Other 41%
López Chau & Fujimori 41%
López Aliaga & Fujimori
51%
López Aliaga & López Chau
41%
Other
41%
López Chau & Fujimori
41%
López Aliaga & Sánchez Palomino
40%
Fujimori & Nieto
40%
López Aliaga & Nieto
39%
López Chau & Sánchez Palomino
39%
López Aliaga & Grozo
39%
López Chau & Nieto
36%
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates who advance to the runoff of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election.
If a different combination of candidates than those listed below advances to the runoff, if no runoff is being held, for example, because a candidate wins the first round outright, or if the candidates of the specified election are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the 2026 Peru presidential runoff heavily favors Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advancing together at 50.5%, reflecting recent polls where they consistently poll in the top two amid a fragmented field of over a dozen candidates, none exceeding 12-15% support. Ipsos and Datum surveys from late 2024 show Fujimori at 11-13% and López Aliaga at 9-11%, with challengers like López Chau and Sánchez Palomino hovering at 5-8%, keeping alternative pairings viable around 40%. The race stays tight due to volatile voter preferences, ongoing protests against President Boluarte's administration, economic stagnation, and no dominant frontrunner; separation could emerge from candidate registrations by December 2024, major endorsements, or fresh polling ahead of the April 2026 first round.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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