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Выборы·Испания

Президент Андалусии после выборов?

icon for Президент Андалусии после выборов?
Выборы·Испания

Президент Андалусии после выборов?

Juanma Moreno 98.4%

Manuel Gavira 1.4%

María Jesús Montero 1.2%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Polymarket

$23,251 Объем

Juanma Moreno 98.4%

Manuel Gavira 1.4%

María Jesús Montero 1.2%

Antonio Maíllo <1%

Polymarket

$23,251 Объем

icon for Juanma Moreno

Juanma Moreno

$9,006 Объем

98%

icon for María Jesús Montero

María Jesús Montero

$4,126 Объем

1%

icon for Manuel Gavira

Manuel Gavira

$3,844 Объем

1%

icon for Antonio Maíllo

Antonio Maíllo

$3,174 Объем

<1%

icon for José Ignacio García

José Ignacio García

$3,101 Объем

<1%

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Juanma Moreno of the Partido Popular holds a commanding lead in polls for the May 17 Andalusian Parliament election, with PP support consistently around 43-45% projecting 55-58 seats toward an absolute majority in the 109-seat chamber. Recent surveys from GAD3, Sociométrica, and CIS through early May affirm this dominance, driven by Moreno's strong debate performance, campaign momentum including rural outreach, and insistence on governing without Vox pacts, while PSOE candidate María Jesús Montero trails at 21-25% amid historic lows. Trader consensus prices Moreno's re-election as Junta president at 98.5%, reflecting low upset risk, though late scandals, turnout surges favoring opposition, or post-vote coalition shifts could theoretically challenge it.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$23,251
Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Juanma Moreno of the Partido Popular holds a commanding lead in polls for the May 17 Andalusian Parliament election, with PP support consistently around 43-45% projecting 55-58 seats toward an absolute majority in the 109-seat chamber. Recent surveys from GAD3, Sociométrica, and CIS through early May affirm this dominance, driven by Moreno's strong debate performance, campaign momentum including rural outreach, and insistence on governing without Vox pacts, while PSOE candidate María Jesús Montero trails at 21-25% amid historic lows. Trader consensus prices Moreno's re-election as Junta president at 98.5%, reflecting low upset risk, though late scandals, turnout surges favoring opposition, or post-vote coalition shifts could theoretically challenge it.

Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election.

This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election.

Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count.

If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$23,251
Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026. The President of Andalusia will then be elected by the Parliament of Andalusia elected in this election. This market will resolve according to the first individual elected by the Parliament of Andalusia to serve as President of Andalusia following this election. Interim, temporary, or caretaker Presidents will not count. If no such President has been elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Andalusia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Президент Андалусии после выборов?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Juanma Moreno» с 98%, за ним следует «María Jesús Montero» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 98¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Президент Андалусии после выборов?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $23.3K с момента запуска рынка Apr 16, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Президент Андалусии после выборов?», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Президент Андалусии после выборов?» — «Juanma Moreno» с 98%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 98%. Следующий ближайший исход — «María Jesús Montero» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Президент Андалусии после выборов?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.