Trader consensus favors PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 50% implied probability in the Andalusian Parliament election on May 17, reflecting the latest polls from May 4-11—such as Sigma Dos (27-30 seats), SocioMétrica (27-28), and Data10 (27)—which project the party at 21-25% vote share, down from 30 seats in 2022 amid incumbent PP's strength under Juanma Moreno nearing absolute majority and fragmentation on the left between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. The 24-26 range at 29.5% captures lower-end estimates like EM-Analytics' 25 seats, while higher outcomes recede as PSOE's national challenges and steady polling trends solidify expectations three days out.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено27-29 64%
24-26 30%
21-23 8.4%
30-32 7.1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 мая 2026 г.
<21
2%
21-23
8%
24-26
30%
27-29
53%
30-32
7%
33+
3%
27-29 64%
24-26 30%
21-23 8.4%
30-32 7.1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 мая 2026 г.
<21
$397 Объем
2%
21-23
$357 Объем
8%
24-26
$127 Объем
30%
27-29
$444 Объем
53%
30-32
$153 Объем
7%
33+
$1,629 Объем
3%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Trader consensus favors PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 50% implied probability in the Andalusian Parliament election on May 17, reflecting the latest polls from May 4-11—such as Sigma Dos (27-30 seats), SocioMétrica (27-28), and Data10 (27)—which project the party at 21-25% vote share, down from 30 seats in 2022 amid incumbent PP's strength under Juanma Moreno nearing absolute majority and fragmentation on the left between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. The 24-26 range at 29.5% captures lower-end estimates like EM-Analytics' 25 seats, while higher outcomes recede as PSOE's national challenges and steady polling trends solidify expectations three days out.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Объем
$3,108Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Trader consensus favors PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 50% implied probability in the Andalusian Parliament election on May 17, reflecting the latest polls from May 4-11—such as Sigma Dos (27-30 seats), SocioMétrica (27-28), and Data10 (27)—which project the party at 21-25% vote share, down from 30 seats in 2022 amid incumbent PP's strength under Juanma Moreno nearing absolute majority and fragmentation on the left between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. The 24-26 range at 29.5% captures lower-end estimates like EM-Analytics' 25 seats, while higher outcomes recede as PSOE's national challenges and steady polling trends solidify expectations three days out.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Объем
$3,108Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 50% implied probability in the Andalusian Parliament election on May 17, reflecting the latest polls from May 4-11—such as Sigma Dos (27-30 seats), SocioMétrica (27-28), and Data10 (27)—which project the party at 21-25% vote share, down from 30 seats in 2022 amid incumbent PP's strength under Juanma Moreno nearing absolute majority and fragmentation on the left between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. The 24-26 range at 29.5% captures lower-end estimates like EM-Analytics' 25 seats, while higher outcomes recede as PSOE's national challenges and steady polling trends solidify expectations three days out.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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