Recent polls for the May 17 Andalusia regional election show the Partido Popular (PP), led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, leading strongly at 42-43% but projecting 53-54 seats in the 109-seat parliament, falling just short of the 55 needed for an absolute majority. Steady Vox support at 15-18% fragments the right-wing vote, while PSOE under María Jesús Montero hits historic lows around 23% (27-29 seats). April 18 polling averages and the latest CIS survey (April 14) place PP on the brink without guaranteeing the threshold, driving trader consensus to imply a 56% chance of no absolute majority amid tight margins and one month until polls close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 мая 2026 г.
Да
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
17 мая 2026 г.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls for the May 17 Andalusia regional election show the Partido Popular (PP), led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, leading strongly at 42-43% but projecting 53-54 seats in the 109-seat parliament, falling just short of the 55 needed for an absolute majority. Steady Vox support at 15-18% fragments the right-wing vote, while PSOE under María Jesús Montero hits historic lows around 23% (27-29 seats). April 18 polling averages and the latest CIS survey (April 14) place PP on the brink without guaranteeing the threshold, driving trader consensus to imply a 56% chance of no absolute majority amid tight margins and one month until polls close.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Открытие рынка: Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
Объем
$65Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polls for the May 17 Andalusia regional election show the Partido Popular (PP), led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, leading strongly at 42-43% but projecting 53-54 seats in the 109-seat parliament, falling just short of the 55 needed for an absolute majority. Steady Vox support at 15-18% fragments the right-wing vote, while PSOE under María Jesús Montero hits historic lows around 23% (27-29 seats). April 18 polling averages and the latest CIS survey (April 14) place PP on the brink without guaranteeing the threshold, driving trader consensus to imply a 56% chance of no absolute majority amid tight margins and one month until polls close.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Partido Popular (PP) wins at least 55 seats in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Popular.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Объем
$65Дата окончания
17 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls for the May 17 Andalusia regional election show the Partido Popular (PP), led by incumbent president Juanma Moreno, leading strongly at 42-43% but projecting 53-54 seats in the 109-seat parliament, falling just short of the 55 needed for an absolute majority. Steady Vox support at 15-18% fragments the right-wing vote, while PSOE under María Jesús Montero hits historic lows around 23% (27-29 seats). April 18 polling averages and the latest CIS survey (April 14) place PP on the brink without guaranteeing the threshold, driving trader consensus to imply a 56% chance of no absolute majority amid tight margins and one month until polls close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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