Morena's entrenched dominance, rooted in its 2024 supermajority in the Chamber of Deputies and continued hold on the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum, drives trader consensus toward an overwhelming victory in the June 2027 legislative election. Recent national polls show the party maintaining wide leads over fragmented opposition forces, while Morena-backed legislation on issues like electoral rules underscores its institutional leverage. PRI edges PAN for distant second place in limited surveys, yet both face structural challenges in mobilizing voters against the incumbent coalition's organizational strength and territorial base. Market pricing reflects this sustained incumbency advantage and absence of major recent shifts capable of narrowing the gap before the contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMorena 83.0%
PRI 10.9%
PAN 3.7%
MC <1%
$48,763 Объем
$48,763 Объем

Morena
83%

PRI
11%

PAN
4%

MC
<1%

PVEM
<1%

PT
<1%
Morena 83.0%
PRI 10.9%
PAN 3.7%
MC <1%
$48,763 Объем
$48,763 Объем

Morena
83%

PRI
11%

PAN
4%

MC
<1%

PVEM
<1%

PT
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Открытие рынка: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena's entrenched dominance, rooted in its 2024 supermajority in the Chamber of Deputies and continued hold on the presidency under Claudia Sheinbaum, drives trader consensus toward an overwhelming victory in the June 2027 legislative election. Recent national polls show the party maintaining wide leads over fragmented opposition forces, while Morena-backed legislation on issues like electoral rules underscores its institutional leverage. PRI edges PAN for distant second place in limited surveys, yet both face structural challenges in mobilizing voters against the incumbent coalition's organizational strength and territorial base. Market pricing reflects this sustained incumbency advantage and absence of major recent shifts capable of narrowing the gap before the contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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