Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Iván Cepeda Castro as the overwhelming first-round favorite for Colombia's May 31 presidential election, driven by his sustained polling lead of 34-37% in recent Centro Nacional de Consultoría and GAD3 surveys, bolstered by the Historic Pact's plurality win in the March 8 legislative elections despite a fragmented Congress. As President Gustavo Petro's leftist ally and confirmed candidate among 14 contenders, Cepeda benefits from vote splitting on the right, where Paloma Valencia has climbed to 22-24% on Democratic Center momentum and Abelardo de la Espriella holds 15-17%. Tight second-round polls highlight runoff uncertainty, with key upcoming primaries and debates poised to test consolidation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель 1-го тура президентских выборов в Колумбии?
Победитель 1-го тура президентских выборов в Колумбии?
Иван Сепеда Кастро 70%
Палома Валенсия 20.5%
Абелардо де ла Эсприэлья 4.4%
Хуан Карлос Пинсон 1.1%
$1,669,419 Объем
$1,669,419 Объем

Иван Сепеда Кастро
70%

Палома Валенсия
21%

Абелардо де ла Эсприэлья
4%

Хуан Карлос Пинсон
1%

Луис Гильберто Мурильо
1%

Густаво Боливар
1%

Хуан Мануэль Галан
<1%

Даниэль Кинтеро
<1%

Серхио Фахардо
<1%

Рой Баррерас
<1%

Вики Давила
<1%

Дэвид Луна Санчес
<1%

Хуан Даниэль Овьедо
<1%

Энрике Пеньялоса
<1%

Маурисио Кардэнас
<1%

Клаудия Лопес
<1%

Герман Варгас Льерас
<1%
Иван Сепеда Кастро 70%
Палома Валенсия 20.5%
Абелардо де ла Эсприэлья 4.4%
Хуан Карлос Пинсон 1.1%
$1,669,419 Объем
$1,669,419 Объем

Иван Сепеда Кастро
70%

Палома Валенсия
21%

Абелардо де ла Эсприэлья
4%

Хуан Карлос Пинсон
1%

Луис Гильберто Мурильо
1%

Густаво Боливар
1%

Хуан Мануэль Галан
<1%

Даниэль Кинтеро
<1%

Серхио Фахардо
<1%

Рой Баррерас
<1%

Вики Давила
<1%

Дэвид Луна Санчес
<1%

Хуан Даниэль Овьедо
<1%

Энрике Пеньялоса
<1%

Маурисио Кардэнас
<1%

Клаудия Лопес
<1%

Герман Варгас Льерас
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Iván Cepeda Castro as the overwhelming first-round favorite for Colombia's May 31 presidential election, driven by his sustained polling lead of 34-37% in recent Centro Nacional de Consultoría and GAD3 surveys, bolstered by the Historic Pact's plurality win in the March 8 legislative elections despite a fragmented Congress. As President Gustavo Petro's leftist ally and confirmed candidate among 14 contenders, Cepeda benefits from vote splitting on the right, where Paloma Valencia has climbed to 22-24% on Democratic Center momentum and Abelardo de la Espriella holds 15-17%. Tight second-round polls highlight runoff uncertainty, with key upcoming primaries and debates poised to test consolidation.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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