Tô Lâm's 94.5% implied probability as next President of Vietnam reflects his unchallenged dominance as Communist Party General Secretary, following unanimous re-election for a second five-year term at the 14th National Congress in January 2026, where he consolidated power amid economic reform pledges. The March 15 National Assembly election, delivering the Communist Party 97% of seats, paves the way for the new legislature's early April session to confirm top state roles, aligning with Vietnam's tradition of party leadership dictating presidential succession. Trailing candidates like Defense Minister Phan Văn Giang at 4% lack comparable backing. While barriers to upset are high, late-breaking health issues, scandals, or rare internal dissent could shift trader consensus before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСледующий президент Вьетнама
Следующий президент Вьетнама
Тô Лâm 95%
Фан Ван Зянг 4.0%
Чан Тхань Мань 1.6%
Чан Кым Ту <1%
$25,098,041 Объем
$25,098,041 Объем
Jan 25, 2026
Тô Лâm
95%
Фан Ван Зянг
4%
Чан Тхань Мань
2%
Чан Кым Ту
<1%
Фам Минь Чинь
<1%
Лыонг Кыонг
<1%
Нгуен Зуй Нгок
<1%
Тô Лâm 95%
Фан Ван Зянг 4.0%
Чан Тхань Мань 1.6%
Чан Кым Ту <1%
$25,098,041 Объем
$25,098,041 Объем
Jan 25, 2026
Тô Лâm
$3,218,847 Объем
95%
Фан Ван Зянг
$2,002,206 Объем
4%
Чан Тхань Мань
$2,030,626 Объем
2%
Чан Кым Ту
$1,731,071 Объем
<1%
Фам Минь Чинь
$15,405,922 Объем
<1%
Лыонг Кыонг
$0 Объем
<1%
Нгуен Зуй Нгок
$709,370 Объем
<1%
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.
If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tô Lâm's 94.5% implied probability as next President of Vietnam reflects his unchallenged dominance as Communist Party General Secretary, following unanimous re-election for a second five-year term at the 14th National Congress in January 2026, where he consolidated power amid economic reform pledges. The March 15 National Assembly election, delivering the Communist Party 97% of seats, paves the way for the new legislature's early April session to confirm top state roles, aligning with Vietnam's tradition of party leadership dictating presidential succession. Trailing candidates like Defense Minister Phan Văn Giang at 4% lack comparable backing. While barriers to upset are high, late-breaking health issues, scandals, or rare internal dissent could shift trader consensus before resolution.
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.
If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.
If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 21, 2026, 1:44 PM ET
Объем
$25,098,041Дата окончания
Jan 25, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.
If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Tô Lâm's 94.5% implied probability as next President of Vietnam reflects his unchallenged dominance as Communist Party General Secretary, following unanimous re-election for a second five-year term at the 14th National Congress in January 2026, where he consolidated power amid economic reform pledges. The March 15 National Assembly election, delivering the Communist Party 97% of seats, paves the way for the new legislature's early April session to confirm top state roles, aligning with Vietnam's tradition of party leadership dictating presidential succession. Trailing candidates like Defense Minister Phan Văn Giang at 4% lack comparable backing. While barriers to upset are high, late-breaking health issues, scandals, or rare internal dissent could shift trader consensus before resolution.
Vietnam’s President is selected through internal decisions of the Communist Party of Vietnam and its National Assembly. The Party is holding its 14th National Congress from January 19 to January 25, 2026, after which the National Assembly of Vietnam is expected to elect leadership positions including President.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.
If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is formally elected by the National Assembly to assume the office of President of Vietnam.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected to assume the office of President. Any acting, interim, or caretaker President will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If the offices of President of Vietnam and General Secretary of the Communist Party of Vietnam are merged such that an individual is elected to hold a joint office as leader of the party and head of state of Vietnam, this market will resolve to that individual.
If no such President is elected by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the National Assembly of Vietnam; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$25,098,041Дата окончания
Jan 25, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 21, 2026, 1:44 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tô Lâm's 94.5% implied probability as next President of Vietnam reflects his unchallenged dominance as Communist Party General Secretary, following unanimous re-election for a second five-year term at the 14th National Congress in January 2026, where he consolidated power amid economic reform pledges. The March 15 National Assembly election, delivering the Communist Party 97% of seats, paves the way for the new legislature's early April session to confirm top state roles, aligning with Vietnam's tradition of party leadership dictating presidential succession. Trailing candidates like Defense Minister Phan Văn Giang at 4% lack comparable backing. While barriers to upset are high, late-breaking health issues, scandals, or rare internal dissent could shift trader consensus before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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