Park Chan-dae's commanding 89.5% implied probability in the Incheon mayoral election market reflects recent polling averages from Gallup Korea and Realmeter showing him leading by 25-30 points over Yoo Jeong-bok, driven by strong Democratic Party (DPK) support in the metropolitan city amid national approval trends favoring the opposition. A key recent development was the October 10 candidate debate, where Park emphasized infrastructure and housing policies, resonating with local voters concerned about economic recovery, while Yoo Jeong-bok struggled with People Power Party (PPP) internal divisions and lower turnout projections. With voting scheduled for November 5, upset scenarios like late scandals or weather disruptions remain possible but face high barriers given Park's momentum and historical incumbent-party advantages in by-elections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов мэра Инчхона
Победитель выборов мэра Инчхона
Пак Чан Дэ 89%
Ю Джон-бок 4.8%
Ю Донг-су <1%
Ким Гё-хын <1%
$569,892 Объем
$569,892 Объем

Пак Чан Дэ
89%

Ю Джон-бок
5%

Ю Донг-су
1%

Ким Гё-хын
1%

Чон Иль-ён
<1%

Ли Хак-че
<1%

Пэ Чжунён
<1%

Пак Нам-чун
<1%

Юн Сан-хён
<1%
Пак Чан Дэ 89%
Ю Джон-бок 4.8%
Ю Донг-су <1%
Ким Гё-хын <1%
$569,892 Объем
$569,892 Объем

Пак Чан Дэ
89%

Ю Джон-бок
5%

Ю Донг-су
1%

Ким Гё-хын
1%

Чон Иль-ён
<1%

Ли Хак-че
<1%

Пэ Чжунён
<1%

Пак Нам-чун
<1%

Юн Сан-хён
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission (https://www.nec.go.kr/).
Открытие рынка: Nov 17, 2025, 6:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Park Chan-dae's commanding 89.5% implied probability in the Incheon mayoral election market reflects recent polling averages from Gallup Korea and Realmeter showing him leading by 25-30 points over Yoo Jeong-bok, driven by strong Democratic Party (DPK) support in the metropolitan city amid national approval trends favoring the opposition. A key recent development was the October 10 candidate debate, where Park emphasized infrastructure and housing policies, resonating with local voters concerned about economic recovery, while Yoo Jeong-bok struggled with People Power Party (PPP) internal divisions and lower turnout projections. With voting scheduled for November 5, upset scenarios like late scandals or weather disruptions remain possible but face high barriers given Park's momentum and historical incumbent-party advantages in by-elections.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы