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icon for Основные победители WA-09
Политика·Первичные

Основные победители WA-09

icon for Основные победители WA-09
Политика·Первичные

Основные победители WA-09

$1,893 Объем

4 авг. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$1,893 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Даг Базлер

Даг Базлер

$248 Объем

Да

icon for Джейкоб Перассо

Джейкоб Перассо

$166 Объем

Нет

icon for Адам Смит

Адам Смит

$550 Объем

Да

icon for Мелисса Чаудри

Мелисса Чаудри

$800 Объем

Нет

icon for Кшама Савант

Кшама Савант

$129 Объем

Нет

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington's 9th Congressional District held its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with incumbent Democrat Adam Smith facing Democratic challengers Melissa Chaudhry and Kshama Sawant alongside Republican Doug Basler and Socialist Workers Party candidate Jacob Perasso. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in recent general election margins exceeding 60 percent for Smith, shapes expectations that the incumbent will advance alongside the leading Republican. Early results and candidate filings indicate limited shifts from baseline turnout patterns or endorsement distributions. Certification of official tallies and any late absentee or provisional ballot processing remain key steps before final advancement is confirmed for the November general election.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Объем
$1,893
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington's 9th Congressional District held its top-two primary on August 4, 2026, with incumbent Democrat Adam Smith facing Democratic challengers Melissa Chaudhry and Kshama Sawant alongside Republican Doug Basler and Socialist Workers Party candidate Jacob Perasso. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in recent general election margins exceeding 60 percent for Smith, shapes expectations that the incumbent will advance alongside the leading Republican. Early results and candidate filings indicate limited shifts from baseline turnout patterns or endorsement distributions. Certification of official tallies and any late absentee or provisional ballot processing remain key steps before final advancement is confirmed for the November general election.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.The non-partisan primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-09 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-09 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Объем
$1,893
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 5:55 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x65070BE91...

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу WA-09?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу WA-09?

95%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу WA-08?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу WA-08?

98%
Да
icon for Сможет ли Демократическая партия выиграть место в Палате от округа WA-10?

Сможет ли Демократическая партия выиграть место в Палате от округа WA-10?

95%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Основные победители WA-09» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 5 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Даг Базлер» с 100%, за ним следует «Адам Смит» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Основные победители WA-09» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jul 20, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Основные победители WA-09», просмотри 5 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Основные победители WA-09» — «Даг Базлер» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Адам Смит» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Основные победители WA-09» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.