Maine’s 2nd congressional district race remains competitive ahead of the November 2026 general election following Democratic incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement. Former Republican Governor Paul LePage secured his party’s nomination without opposition, while state Auditor Matthew Dunlap prevailed in the Democratic primary. Recent polling shows the two candidates essentially tied, with one July survey placing Dunlap at 49 percent and LePage at 48 percent. The district’s rural character and stronger Republican performance in statewide contests provide LePage an advantage that traders appear to price into the modest GOP lead. Key variables that could widen the gap include turnout among independent voters, the impact of ranked-choice voting on the final tally, and any late-cycle shifts in national midterm dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоME-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
ME-02 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
60%
Демократическая партия
42%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$5,535 Объем
60%
Демократическая партия
$1,693 Объем
42%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd congressional district race remains competitive ahead of the November 2026 general election following Democratic incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement. Former Republican Governor Paul LePage secured his party’s nomination without opposition, while state Auditor Matthew Dunlap prevailed in the Democratic primary. Recent polling shows the two candidates essentially tied, with one July survey placing Dunlap at 49 percent and LePage at 48 percent. The district’s rural character and stronger Republican performance in statewide contests provide LePage an advantage that traders appear to price into the modest GOP lead. Key variables that could widen the gap include turnout among independent voters, the impact of ranked-choice voting on the final tally, and any late-cycle shifts in national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Объем
$7,228Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd congressional district race remains competitive ahead of the November 2026 general election following Democratic incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement. Former Republican Governor Paul LePage secured his party’s nomination without opposition, while state Auditor Matthew Dunlap prevailed in the Democratic primary. Recent polling shows the two candidates essentially tied, with one July survey placing Dunlap at 49 percent and LePage at 48 percent. The district’s rural character and stronger Republican performance in statewide contests provide LePage an advantage that traders appear to price into the modest GOP lead. Key variables that could widen the gap include turnout among independent voters, the impact of ranked-choice voting on the final tally, and any late-cycle shifts in national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$7,228Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Maine’s 2nd congressional district race remains competitive ahead of the November 2026 general election following Democratic incumbent Jared Golden’s retirement. Former Republican Governor Paul LePage secured his party’s nomination without opposition, while state Auditor Matthew Dunlap prevailed in the Democratic primary. Recent polling shows the two candidates essentially tied, with one July survey placing Dunlap at 49 percent and LePage at 48 percent. The district’s rural character and stronger Republican performance in statewide contests provide LePage an advantage that traders appear to price into the modest GOP lead. Key variables that could widen the gap include turnout among independent voters, the impact of ranked-choice voting on the final tally, and any late-cycle shifts in national midterm dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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