Skip to main content
icon for Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?
Политика·Трудовые ресурсы

Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?

icon for Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?
Политика·Трудовые ресурсы

Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?

$187,079 Объем

31 дек. 2026 г.
Polymarket

$187,079 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Киир Стармер

Киир Стармер

$7,653 Объем

Нет

icon for Иветт Купер

Иветт Купер

$11,233 Объем

Да

icon for Даррен Джонс

Даррен Джонс

$5,398 Объем

Нет

icon for Лиз Кендалл

Лиз Кендалл

$4,229 Объем

Нет

icon for Иэн Мюррей

Иэн Мюррей

$1,975 Объем

Нет

icon for Пэт Макфадден

Пэт Макфадден

$1,284 Объем

Да

icon for Бриджет Филлипсон

Бриджет Филлипсон

$22,018 Объем

Да

icon for Эд Милибэнд

Эд Милибэнд

$7,968 Объем

Да

icon for Джо Стивенс

Джо Стивенс

$5,463 Объем

Нет

icon for Джесс Филлипс

Джесс Филлипс

$10,305 Объем

Нет

icon for Уэс Стритинг

Уэс Стритинг

$9,423 Объем

Да

icon for Рэйчел Ривз

Рэйчел Ривз

$12,158 Объем

Нет

icon for Дэвид Лэмми

Дэвид Лэмми

$3,970 Объем

Нет

icon for Шабана Махмуд

Шабана Махмуд

$2,059 Объем

Да

icon for Хайди Александр

Хайди Александр

$9,780 Объем

Да

icon for Питер Кайл

Питер Кайл

$2,314 Объем

Нет

icon for Алан Кэмпбелл

Алан Кэмпбелл

$7,233 Объем

Да

icon for Джеки Смит

Джеки Смит

$2,028 Объем

Нет

icon for Джон Хили

Джон Хили

$2,425 Объем

Да

icon for Кэтрин Уэст

Кэтрин Уэст

$11,026 Объем

Нет

icon for Лиза Нэнди

Лиза Нэнди

$8,495 Объем

Да

icon for Дэн Джарвис

Дэн Джарвис

$5,960 Объем

Нет

icon for Хилари Бенн

Хилари Бенн

$2,014 Объем

Нет

icon for Луиза Хейг

Луиза Хейг

$3,622 Объем

Да

icon for Анджела Рейнер

Анджела Рейнер

$8,718 Объем

Да

icon for Стив Рид

Стив Рид

$1,798 Объем

Нет

icon for Джеймс Мюррей

Джеймс Мюррей

$7,326 Объем

Нет

icon for Джонатан Рейнольдс

Джонатан Рейнольдс

$4,038 Объем

Да

icon for Патрик Валланс

Патрик Валланс

$3,119 Объем

Нет

icon for Гэри Стивенсон

Гэри Стивенсон

$2,048 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham is widely expected to become UK prime minister within weeks following Keir Starmer’s resignation as Labour leader on June 22, 2026, after Burnham’s decisive Makerfield by-election victory. Trader focus centers on his likely cabinet reshuffle, with early signals pointing to retention or promotion of figures such as Ed Miliband, Shabana Mahmood, and Wes Streeting, alongside possible demotions for Starmer-aligned ministers like Rachel Reeves. Key variables include Burnham’s need to balance soft-left allies with broader party unity, Senate-style confirmation dynamics in Labour’s internal processes, and any rapid policy shifts on fiscal rules or public ownership that could alter appointments before a July formation window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.

Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.

To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.

If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$187,079
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 9:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Andy Burnham is widely expected to become UK prime minister within weeks following Keir Starmer’s resignation as Labour leader on June 22, 2026, after Burnham’s decisive Makerfield by-election victory. Trader focus centers on his likely cabinet reshuffle, with early signals pointing to retention or promotion of figures such as Ed Miliband, Shabana Mahmood, and Wes Streeting, alongside possible demotions for Starmer-aligned ministers like Rachel Reeves. Key variables include Burnham’s need to balance soft-left allies with broader party unity, Senate-style confirmation dynamics in Labour’s internal processes, and any rapid policy shifts on fiscal rules or public ownership that could alter appointments before a July formation window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify.

Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market.

To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution.

If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$187,079
Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 23, 2026, 9:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Связанные

icon for Энди Бернэм перестанет быть премьер-министром Великобритании к 31 декабря?

Энди Бернэм перестанет быть премьер-министром Великобритании к 31 декабря?

5%
Да
icon for Станет ли Шабана Махмуд первой, кто покинет кабинет Бёрнема?

Станет ли Шабана Махмуд первой, кто покинет кабинет Бёрнема?

19%
Да
icon for Будет ли два премьер-министра Великобритании к концу 2027 года?

Будет ли два премьер-министра Великобритании к концу 2027 года?

86%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 30 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Иветт Купер» с 100%, за ним следует «Пэт Макфадден» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $187.1K с момента запуска рынка Jun 23, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?», просмотри 30 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?» — «Иветт Купер» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Пэт Макфадден» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Кто будет в кабинете Бернхэма?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.