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icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Политика·Выборы во Франции

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

icon for Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?
Политика·Выборы во Франции

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

$62,756 Объем

30 апр. 2027 г.
Polymarket

$62,756 Объем

Polymarket
icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$3,062 Объем

81%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$721 Объем

42%

icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$2,687 Объем

37%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$25 Объем

12%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$873 Объем

11%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$21 Объем

7%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$810 Объем

6%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$232 Объем

5%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$16,655 Объем

5%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$1,114 Объем

5%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$1,725 Объем

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$58 Объем

4%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$631 Объем

4%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$4,673 Объем

3%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$77 Объем

3%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$2,179 Объем

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$3,142 Объем

3%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$12 Объем

3%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$129 Объем

3%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$1,825 Объем

2%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$580 Объем

2%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$1,123 Объем

2%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$1,739 Объем

2%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$2,024 Объем

1%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$2,826 Объем

1%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$829 Объем

1%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$1,008 Объем

1%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$978 Объем

1%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$1,090 Объем

1%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$1,030 Объем

1%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$1,537 Объем

1%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$2,375 Объем

1%

icon for Clémence Guetté

Clémence Guetté

$1,099 Объем

1%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,424 Объем

1%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$1,109 Объем

<1%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$1,223 Объем

<1%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Объем
$62,756
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Jordan Bardella of the National Rally leads recent first-round polling for the April 2027 presidential election at around 34 percent, well ahead of fragmented rivals including Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise near 16 percent and several centrist or center-right figures. Marine Le Pen’s pending appeal of her embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected in July 2026, determines whether she or Bardella carries the party banner into the race. A crowded field of declared candidates from the center and moderate left raises the prospect that vote splitting could send either Mélenchon or a figure such as Édouard Philippe into the runoff alongside the National Rally nominee, consistent with patterns in prior elections where the two highest first-round finishers advance under the two-round system.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier.

The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Объем
$62,756
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2027 г.
Открытие рынка
Jun 1, 2026, 7:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Связанные

icon for победит ли Марин Ле Пен на выборах президента Франции 2027 года?

победит ли Марин Ле Пен на выборах президента Франции 2027 года?

30%
Да
icon for Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

97%
icon for Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

83%

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 36 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Marine Le Pen» с 81%, за ним следует «Édouard Philippe» с 42%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 81¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 81%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $62.8K с момента запуска рынка Jun 1, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

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Текущий фаворит для «Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?» — «Marine Le Pen» с 81%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 81%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Édouard Philippe» с 42%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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