Skip to main content
icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Политика·палата представителей

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

icon for CA-14 Special Election Winner?
Политика·палата представителей

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Aisha Wahab 82%

Rakhi Israni Singh 16.3%

Matt Ortega 3.6%

Carin Elam 3.1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Aisha Wahab 82%

Rakhi Israni Singh 16.3%

Matt Ortega 3.6%

Carin Elam 3.1%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Aisha Wahab

$434 Объем

82%

Melissa Hernandez

$212 Объем

3%

Wendy Huang

$165 Объем

1%

Carin Elam

$210 Объем

3%

Matt Ortega

$183 Объем

4%

Rakhi Israni Singh

$308 Объем

16%

Victor Aguilar Jr.

$152 Объем

3%

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market due to her California Democratic Party endorsement and established profile as a state senator in a district that has consistently favored Democratic candidates. Eric Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations triggered the June 16 special primary and potential August 18 runoff, consolidating support behind Wahab while a fragmented field of other Democrats and Republicans remains divided. Rakhi Israni Singh and candidates such as Melissa Hernandez draw limited backing in this nonpartisan top-two format, where a majority vote could decide the outcome outright. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the district’s recent voting patterns, with no major shifts reported in the past month.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Объем
$1,663
Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.Aisha Wahab leads the CA-14 special election market due to her California Democratic Party endorsement and established profile as a state senator in a district that has consistently favored Democratic candidates. Eric Swalwell’s April 2026 resignation amid misconduct allegations triggered the June 16 special primary and potential August 18 runoff, consolidating support behind Wahab while a fragmented field of other Democrats and Republicans remains divided. Rakhi Israni Singh and candidates such as Melissa Hernandez draw limited backing in this nonpartisan top-two format, where a majority vote could decide the outcome outright. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and the district’s recent voting patterns, with no major shifts reported in the past month.

A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives.

This market will resolve according to the winner of this election.

This market includes any potential runoff election or second round.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Объем
$1,663
Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 1:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A special election is scheduled for August 18, 2026 to fill the seat of California’s 14th Congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives. This market will resolve according to the winner of this election. This market includes any potential runoff election or second round. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including: https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 7 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Aisha Wahab» с 82%, за ним следует «Rakhi Israni Singh» с 16%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 82¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 82%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 16, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «CA-14 Special Election Winner?», просмотри 7 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «CA-14 Special Election Winner?» — «Aisha Wahab» с 82%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 82%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Rakhi Israni Singh» с 16%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «CA-14 Special Election Winner?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.