Recent primary elections in states like Texas and North Carolina have shown elevated participation rates compared to prior midterm cycles, reflecting strong mobilization on both sides amid dissatisfaction with the economy and President Trump's approval ratings near 45%. These trends, combined with Democratic advantages in the generic ballot and ongoing redistricting shifts that could alter competitive districts, support trader expectations for national House turnout in the 125-130 million range. The closely matched probabilities around this level highlight uncertainty over whether sustained polarization and key issues such as affordability will sustain above-average engagement through November or if typical midterm drop-off occurs. Upcoming primaries and summer polling shifts could further separate outcomes by clarifying voter intensity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено130 млн+ 25%
125–130 млн 15%
115-120 млн 14%
110–115 млн 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<85 млн
<1%
85-90 млн
<1%
90–95 млн
1%
95-100 млн
21%
100–105 млн
1%
105-110 млн
5%
110–115 млн
12%
115-120 млн
34%
120-125 млн
37%
125–130 млн
21%
130 млн+
25%
130 млн+ 25%
125–130 млн 15%
115-120 млн 14%
110–115 млн 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<85 млн
$324 Объем
<1%
85-90 млн
$419 Объем
<1%
90–95 млн
$1,552 Объем
1%
95-100 млн
$269 Объем
21%
100–105 млн
$791 Объем
1%
105-110 млн
$436 Объем
5%
110–115 млн
$526 Объем
12%
115-120 млн
$1,025 Объем
34%
120-125 млн
$408 Объем
37%
125–130 млн
$1,204 Объем
21%
130 млн+
$307 Объем
25%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent primary elections in states like Texas and North Carolina have shown elevated participation rates compared to prior midterm cycles, reflecting strong mobilization on both sides amid dissatisfaction with the economy and President Trump's approval ratings near 45%. These trends, combined with Democratic advantages in the generic ballot and ongoing redistricting shifts that could alter competitive districts, support trader expectations for national House turnout in the 125-130 million range. The closely matched probabilities around this level highlight uncertainty over whether sustained polarization and key issues such as affordability will sustain above-average engagement through November or if typical midterm drop-off occurs. Upcoming primaries and summer polling shifts could further separate outcomes by clarifying voter intensity.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Объем
$7,260Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Recent primary elections in states like Texas and North Carolina have shown elevated participation rates compared to prior midterm cycles, reflecting strong mobilization on both sides amid dissatisfaction with the economy and President Trump's approval ratings near 45%. These trends, combined with Democratic advantages in the generic ballot and ongoing redistricting shifts that could alter competitive districts, support trader expectations for national House turnout in the 125-130 million range. The closely matched probabilities around this level highlight uncertainty over whether sustained polarization and key issues such as affordability will sustain above-average engagement through November or if typical midterm drop-off occurs. Upcoming primaries and summer polling shifts could further separate outcomes by clarifying voter intensity.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Объем
$7,260Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent primary elections in states like Texas and North Carolina have shown elevated participation rates compared to prior midterm cycles, reflecting strong mobilization on both sides amid dissatisfaction with the economy and President Trump's approval ratings near 45%. These trends, combined with Democratic advantages in the generic ballot and ongoing redistricting shifts that could alter competitive districts, support trader expectations for national House turnout in the 125-130 million range. The closely matched probabilities around this level highlight uncertainty over whether sustained polarization and key issues such as affordability will sustain above-average engagement through November or if typical midterm drop-off occurs. Upcoming primaries and summer polling shifts could further separate outcomes by clarifying voter intensity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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