Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 115-130 million votes, with 120-125 million leading at 35%, reflecting balanced uncertainty from recent primary signals: record early voting in Chicago's March primaries contrasted with lower Republican participation in states like Indiana and North Carolina, per election data. Polls, including Marquette's showing 47% Democratic "very enthusiastic" voters versus 28% for Republicans, highlight enthusiasm gaps that could sway mobilization in battlegrounds. Anchored to 2022's 108 million votes adjusted for population growth and polarization, odds stay competitive absent major catalysts; upcoming primaries through summer, voter registration deadlines, and economic shifts in swing states like Pennsylvania and Michigan could widen separation by boosting turnout blocs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено130 млн+ 34%
105-110 млн 24.1%
110–115 млн 16%
115-120 млн 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<85 млн
<1%
85-90 млн
4%
90–95 млн
1%
95-100 млн
20%
100–105 млн
1%
105-110 млн
24%
110–115 млн
16%
115-120 млн
29%
120-125 млн
31%
125–130 млн
25%
130 млн+
34%
130 млн+ 34%
105-110 млн 24.1%
110–115 млн 16%
115-120 млн 14%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<85 млн
$324 Объем
<1%
85-90 млн
$419 Объем
4%
90–95 млн
$1,552 Объем
1%
95-100 млн
$269 Объем
20%
100–105 млн
$791 Объем
1%
105-110 млн
$436 Объем
24%
110–115 млн
$526 Объем
16%
115-120 млн
$1,025 Объем
29%
120-125 млн
$408 Объем
31%
125–130 млн
$1,199 Объем
25%
130 млн+
$294 Объем
34%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 115-130 million votes, with 120-125 million leading at 35%, reflecting balanced uncertainty from recent primary signals: record early voting in Chicago's March primaries contrasted with lower Republican participation in states like Indiana and North Carolina, per election data. Polls, including Marquette's showing 47% Democratic "very enthusiastic" voters versus 28% for Republicans, highlight enthusiasm gaps that could sway mobilization in battlegrounds. Anchored to 2022's 108 million votes adjusted for population growth and polarization, odds stay competitive absent major catalysts; upcoming primaries through summer, voter registration deadlines, and economic shifts in swing states like Pennsylvania and Michigan could widen separation by boosting turnout blocs.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Объем
$7,242Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 115-130 million votes, with 120-125 million leading at 35%, reflecting balanced uncertainty from recent primary signals: record early voting in Chicago's March primaries contrasted with lower Republican participation in states like Indiana and North Carolina, per election data. Polls, including Marquette's showing 47% Democratic "very enthusiastic" voters versus 28% for Republicans, highlight enthusiasm gaps that could sway mobilization in battlegrounds. Anchored to 2022's 108 million votes adjusted for population growth and polarization, odds stay competitive absent major catalysts; upcoming primaries through summer, voter registration deadlines, and economic shifts in swing states like Pennsylvania and Michigan could widen separation by boosting turnout blocs.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Объем
$7,242Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on 2026 midterm House turnout centers tightly around 115-130 million votes, with 120-125 million leading at 35%, reflecting balanced uncertainty from recent primary signals: record early voting in Chicago's March primaries contrasted with lower Republican participation in states like Indiana and North Carolina, per election data. Polls, including Marquette's showing 47% Democratic "very enthusiastic" voters versus 28% for Republicans, highlight enthusiasm gaps that could sway mobilization in battlegrounds. Anchored to 2022's 108 million votes adjusted for population growth and polarization, odds stay competitive absent major catalysts; upcoming primaries through summer, voter registration deadlines, and economic shifts in swing states like Pennsylvania and Michigan could widen separation by boosting turnout blocs.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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