Early generic ballot polling and special election results reflect sustained voter engagement ahead of the 2026 House contests, with Democrats holding modest leads in most surveys and consistent gains in off-year races. This environment, viewed as a referendum on the sitting administration, supports trader consensus around 120–130 million total ballots as the most probable range. Competitive districts, ongoing redistricting shifts, and early fundraising trends could lift participation above historical midterm baselines, while lower enthusiasm in safe seats or procedural factors like mail voting access may cap totals. Resolution hinges on certified national House vote counts reported after November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено130 млн+ 26%
115-120 млн 16%
125–130 млн 15%
120-125 млн 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<85 млн
<1%
85-90 млн
<1%
90–95 млн
1%
95-100 млн
1%
100–105 млн
1%
105-110 млн
5%
110–115 млн
11%
115-120 млн
16%
120-125 млн
21%
125–130 млн
18%
130 млн+
26%
130 млн+ 26%
115-120 млн 16%
125–130 млн 15%
120-125 млн 12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
<85 млн
$324 Объем
<1%
85-90 млн
$419 Объем
<1%
90–95 млн
$1,552 Объем
1%
95-100 млн
$269 Объем
1%
100–105 млн
$791 Объем
1%
105-110 млн
$436 Объем
5%
110–115 млн
$526 Объем
11%
115-120 млн
$1,025 Объем
16%
120-125 млн
$408 Объем
21%
125–130 млн
$1,204 Объем
18%
130 млн+
$307 Объем
26%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Early generic ballot polling and special election results reflect sustained voter engagement ahead of the 2026 House contests, with Democrats holding modest leads in most surveys and consistent gains in off-year races. This environment, viewed as a referendum on the sitting administration, supports trader consensus around 120–130 million total ballots as the most probable range. Competitive districts, ongoing redistricting shifts, and early fundraising trends could lift participation above historical midterm baselines, while lower enthusiasm in safe seats or procedural factors like mail voting access may cap totals. Resolution hinges on certified national House vote counts reported after November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Объем
$7,260Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Early generic ballot polling and special election results reflect sustained voter engagement ahead of the 2026 House contests, with Democrats holding modest leads in most surveys and consistent gains in off-year races. This environment, viewed as a referendum on the sitting administration, supports trader consensus around 120–130 million total ballots as the most probable range. Competitive districts, ongoing redistricting shifts, and early fundraising trends could lift participation above historical midterm baselines, while lower enthusiasm in safe seats or procedural factors like mail voting access may cap totals. Resolution hinges on certified national House vote counts reported after November 3.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Объем
$7,260Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Early generic ballot polling and special election results reflect sustained voter engagement ahead of the 2026 House contests, with Democrats holding modest leads in most surveys and consistent gains in off-year races. This environment, viewed as a referendum on the sitting administration, supports trader consensus around 120–130 million total ballots as the most probable range. Competitive districts, ongoing redistricting shifts, and early fundraising trends could lift participation above historical midterm baselines, while lower enthusiasm in safe seats or procedural factors like mail voting access may cap totals. Resolution hinges on certified national House vote counts reported after November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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