Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination for Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat on June 2, 2026, with roughly 62.6 percent of the vote to Zach Wahls’ 37.4 percent in a two-candidate primary. Traders price the 20–30 point margin at near-certainty levels because final unofficial tallies across nearly all precincts aligned with that range, following endorsements from party figures and outside spending that emphasized Turek’s broader electability in the Republican-leaning state. Wahls, the more progressive challenger and former Senate minority leader, failed to close the gap in late polling or turnout. The outcome remains subject only to official certification, a potential recount, or narrow legal challenges that have not yet materialized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПервичная маржа победы Демократического сената Айовы
Первичная маржа победы Демократического сената Айовы
Турек 20–30% 99.0%
Турек 30%+ 3.4%
Турек 10–20% 1.1%
Турек <10% <1%
$6,232 Объем
$6,232 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
Турек <10%
<1%
Турек 30%+
3%
Турек 10–20%
1%
Турек 20–30%
99%
Уолс побеждает
30%
Турек 20–30% 99.0%
Турек 30%+ 3.4%
Турек 10–20% 1.1%
Турек <10% <1%
$6,232 Объем
$6,232 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
Турек <10%
$496 Объем
<1%
Турек 30%+
$454 Объем
3%
Турек 10–20%
$485 Объем
1%
Турек 20–30%
$4,405 Объем
99%
Уолс побеждает
$393 Объем
30%
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination for Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat on June 2, 2026, with roughly 62.6 percent of the vote to Zach Wahls’ 37.4 percent in a two-candidate primary. Traders price the 20–30 point margin at near-certainty levels because final unofficial tallies across nearly all precincts aligned with that range, following endorsements from party figures and outside spending that emphasized Turek’s broader electability in the Republican-leaning state. Wahls, the more progressive challenger and former Senate minority leader, failed to close the gap in late polling or turnout. The outcome remains subject only to official certification, a potential recount, or narrow legal challenges that have not yet materialized.
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Открытие рынка: Jun 2, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Объем
$6,232Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination for Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat on June 2, 2026, with roughly 62.6 percent of the vote to Zach Wahls’ 37.4 percent in a two-candidate primary. Traders price the 20–30 point margin at near-certainty levels because final unofficial tallies across nearly all precincts aligned with that range, following endorsements from party figures and outside spending that emphasized Turek’s broader electability in the Republican-leaning state. Wahls, the more progressive challenger and former Senate minority leader, failed to close the gap in late polling or turnout. The outcome remains subject only to official certification, a potential recount, or narrow legal challenges that have not yet materialized.
Primary elections in Iowa are scheduled to be held on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Iowa Democratic Senate Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Iowa, such as official statewide results published by the Iowa Secretary of State (https://sos.iowa.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$6,232Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jun 2, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Josh Turek secured the Democratic nomination for Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat on June 2, 2026, with roughly 62.6 percent of the vote to Zach Wahls’ 37.4 percent in a two-candidate primary. Traders price the 20–30 point margin at near-certainty levels because final unofficial tallies across nearly all precincts aligned with that range, following endorsements from party figures and outside spending that emphasized Turek’s broader electability in the Republican-leaning state. Wahls, the more progressive challenger and former Senate minority leader, failed to close the gap in late polling or turnout. The outcome remains subject only to official certification, a potential recount, or narrow legal challenges that have not yet materialized.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Победит ли Пегги Флэнаган на праймериз Демократической партии в Сенат Миннесоты с отрывом не менее 20%?
43%
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Выиграет ли Хейли Стивенс предварительные выборы Демократической партии в Сенат Мичигана с преимуществом менее 5%?
29%
Да
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98%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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