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icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

icon for California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

Xavier Becerra 48%

Steve Hilton 23%

Tom Steyer 17%

Chad Bianco 2.9%

Polymarket

$29,872 Объем

Xavier Becerra 48%

Steve Hilton 23%

Tom Steyer 17%

Chad Bianco 2.9%

Polymarket

$29,872 Объем

Xavier Becerra

$9,085 Объем

48%

Steve Hilton

$3,698 Объем

23%

Tom Steyer

$4,918 Объем

17%

Chad Bianco

$1,124 Объем

3%

Katie Porter

$1,177 Объем

3%

Nicki Minaj

$790 Объем

1%

Matt Mahan

$1,835 Объем

1%

Raji Rab

$780 Объем

1%

Daniel Mercuri

$671 Объем

1%

Derek Grasty

$766 Объем

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$551 Объем

<1%

Thunder Parley

$531 Объем

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$629 Объем

<1%

Betty Yee

$658 Объем

<1%

Carolina Buhler

$673 Объем

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$638 Объем

<1%

Leo Zacky

$682 Объем

<1%

Ramsey Robinson

$666 Объем

<1%

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra holds the strongest position in the June 2 California gubernatorial primary due to his post-April surge after Eric Swalwell’s exit, which consolidated Democratic support and drove rapid fundraising gains exceeding $2 million in recent months. Recent Emerson and Gudelunas polls show him tied or leading at around 20-24 percent, ahead of Tom Steyer and Republican Steve Hilton, whose April endorsement from former President Trump has helped stabilize his base but not yet overcome the Democratic field’s fragmentation. Ongoing debates have focused on housing policy and Becerra’s record, with voters remaining somewhat undecided less than three weeks before ballots drop. These developments align with trader consensus favoring Becerra for first place while leaving room for late shifts among the crowded field.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Объем
$29,872
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.Xavier Becerra holds the strongest position in the June 2 California gubernatorial primary due to his post-April surge after Eric Swalwell’s exit, which consolidated Democratic support and drove rapid fundraising gains exceeding $2 million in recent months. Recent Emerson and Gudelunas polls show him tied or leading at around 20-24 percent, ahead of Tom Steyer and Republican Steve Hilton, whose April endorsement from former President Trump has helped stabilize his base but not yet overcome the Democratic field’s fragmentation. Ongoing debates have focused on housing policy and Becerra’s record, with voters remaining somewhat undecided less than three weeks before ballots drop. These developments align with trader consensus favoring Becerra for first place while leaving room for late shifts among the crowded field.

The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
Объем
$29,872
Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 16, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes in this primary election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«California Governor Primary Election: First Place» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 18 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Xavier Becerra» с 48%, за ним следует «Steve Hilton» с 23%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 48¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 48%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «California Governor Primary Election: First Place» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $29.9K с момента запуска рынка Apr 16, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «California Governor Primary Election: First Place», просмотри 18 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «California Governor Primary Election: First Place» — «Xavier Becerra» с 48%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 48%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Steve Hilton» с 23%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «California Governor Primary Election: First Place» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.