Recent JL Partners MRP polling from April 15 shows the Green Party leading Labour 40%-33% in Hackney local election vote intentions, driving trader consensus toward Green candidate Zoë Garbett at 49.5% implied probability over Labour incumbent Caroline Woodley at 41%, with Reform UK's Vahid Almasi at 10% and others trailing. This tight mayoral contest on May 7 under first-past-the-post reflects Labour's historical dominance challenged by a Green surge in the progressive borough, amplified by council projections awarding Greens the most seats (25 of 57) amid no overall control. Dynamics hinge on left-leaning voter turnout (historically ~34%), campaign momentum on local issues like housing, and potential vote splits; late endorsements or scandals could tip the balance before polls close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЗои Гарбетт 50%
Кэролайн Вудли 41%
Вахид Алмаси 8%
Тареке Грегг 6.4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 мая 2026 г.
Зои Гарбетт
50%
Кэролайн Вудли
41%
Вахид Алмаси
8%
Тареке Грегг
6%
Ева Штайнхардт
6%
Зои Гарбетт 50%
Кэролайн Вудли 41%
Вахид Алмаси 8%
Тареке Грегг 6.4%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 мая 2026 г.
Зои Гарбетт
$20 Объем
50%
Кэролайн Вудли
$14 Объем
41%
Вахид Алмаси
$14 Объем
8%
Тареке Грегг
$39 Объем
6%
Ева Штайнхардт
$67 Объем
6%
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.Recent JL Partners MRP polling from April 15 shows the Green Party leading Labour 40%-33% in Hackney local election vote intentions, driving trader consensus toward Green candidate Zoë Garbett at 49.5% implied probability over Labour incumbent Caroline Woodley at 41%, with Reform UK's Vahid Almasi at 10% and others trailing. This tight mayoral contest on May 7 under first-past-the-post reflects Labour's historical dominance challenged by a Green surge in the progressive borough, amplified by council projections awarding Greens the most seats (25 of 57) amid no overall control. Dynamics hinge on left-leaning voter turnout (historically ~34%), campaign momentum on local issues like housing, and potential vote splits; late endorsements or scandals could tip the balance before polls close.
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Открытие рынка: Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Объем
$152Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.Recent JL Partners MRP polling from April 15 shows the Green Party leading Labour 40%-33% in Hackney local election vote intentions, driving trader consensus toward Green candidate Zoë Garbett at 49.5% implied probability over Labour incumbent Caroline Woodley at 41%, with Reform UK's Vahid Almasi at 10% and others trailing. This tight mayoral contest on May 7 under first-past-the-post reflects Labour's historical dominance challenged by a Green surge in the progressive borough, amplified by council projections awarding Greens the most seats (25 of 57) amid no overall control. Dynamics hinge on left-leaning voter turnout (historically ~34%), campaign momentum on local issues like housing, and potential vote splits; late endorsements or scandals could tip the balance before polls close.
The 2026 Hackney mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Hackney as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Hackney Council.
Объем
$152Дата окончания
7 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 17, 2026, 5:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent JL Partners MRP polling from April 15 shows the Green Party leading Labour 40%-33% in Hackney local election vote intentions, driving trader consensus toward Green candidate Zoë Garbett at 49.5% implied probability over Labour incumbent Caroline Woodley at 41%, with Reform UK's Vahid Almasi at 10% and others trailing. This tight mayoral contest on May 7 under first-past-the-post reflects Labour's historical dominance challenged by a Green surge in the progressive borough, amplified by council projections awarding Greens the most seats (25 of 57) amid no overall control. Dynamics hinge on left-leaning voter turnout (historically ~34%), campaign momentum on local issues like housing, and potential vote splits; late endorsements or scandals could tip the balance before polls close.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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