Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holds a strong lead in the 2026 Pernambuco governor race according to trader consensus, reflecting her position as the sitting governor seeking re-election against challenger João Campos (PSB), mayor of Recife, in a rematch of their 2022 contest. Recent party conventions formalized both candidacies, while multiple July and early August polls, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys, show a close first-round matchup with Lyra typically at 44-48% and Campos at 37-42%, within or near margins of error. Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and other minor candidates register minimal support. The market pricing aligns with incumbency advantages, name recognition, and historical re-election patterns for Brazilian governors, though the narrow polling gap leaves room for shifts from campaign events or turnout dynamics before the October vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРаакель Лира 70%
Жоау Кампус 30%
Иван Мораэс <1%
$26,300 Объем
$26,300 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Раакель Лира
70%
Жоау Кампус
30%
Иван Мораэс
1%
Раакель Лира 70%
Жоау Кампус 30%
Иван Мораэс <1%
$26,300 Объем
$26,300 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Раакель Лира
$11,824 Объем
70%
Жоау Кампус
$12,324 Объем
30%
Иван Мораэс
$2,151 Объем
1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holds a strong lead in the 2026 Pernambuco governor race according to trader consensus, reflecting her position as the sitting governor seeking re-election against challenger João Campos (PSB), mayor of Recife, in a rematch of their 2022 contest. Recent party conventions formalized both candidacies, while multiple July and early August polls, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys, show a close first-round matchup with Lyra typically at 44-48% and Campos at 37-42%, within or near margins of error. Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and other minor candidates register minimal support. The market pricing aligns with incumbency advantages, name recognition, and historical re-election patterns for Brazilian governors, though the narrow polling gap leaves room for shifts from campaign events or turnout dynamics before the October vote.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Открытие рынка: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Объем
$26,300Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holds a strong lead in the 2026 Pernambuco governor race according to trader consensus, reflecting her position as the sitting governor seeking re-election against challenger João Campos (PSB), mayor of Recife, in a rematch of their 2022 contest. Recent party conventions formalized both candidacies, while multiple July and early August polls, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys, show a close first-round matchup with Lyra typically at 44-48% and Campos at 37-42%, within or near margins of error. Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and other minor candidates register minimal support. The market pricing aligns with incumbency advantages, name recognition, and historical re-election patterns for Brazilian governors, though the narrow polling gap leaves room for shifts from campaign events or turnout dynamics before the October vote.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Объем
$26,300Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) holds a strong lead in the 2026 Pernambuco governor race according to trader consensus, reflecting her position as the sitting governor seeking re-election against challenger João Campos (PSB), mayor of Recife, in a rematch of their 2022 contest. Recent party conventions formalized both candidacies, while multiple July and early August polls, including Datafolha and Quaest surveys, show a close first-round matchup with Lyra typically at 44-48% and Campos at 37-42%, within or near margins of error. Ivan Moraes (PSOL) and other minor candidates register minimal support. The market pricing aligns with incumbency advantages, name recognition, and historical re-election patterns for Brazilian governors, though the narrow polling gap leaves room for shifts from campaign events or turnout dynamics before the October vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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