Narrow Republican House majority and conservative discontent over bipartisan deals drive trader consensus on Speaker Mike Johnson's job security. On December 20, the House passed a continuing resolution funding government through March 14, 2025, with strong Democratic support, stabilizing Johnson's position short-term and drawing President-elect Trump's endorsement. However, Freedom Caucus members like Chip Roy threatened ouster for relying on Democrats, though no motion to vacate has materialized and critic Matt Gaetz pledged no challenge. Odds reflect low near-term removal risk, but the January 3 new Congress speaker election looms as a key test amid fiscal fights and potential vacancies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоМайк Джонсон вышел из роли спикера...?
Майк Джонсон вышел из роли спикера...?
$88,995 Объем
31 марта 2026
3%
30 июня 2026 года
9%
31 декабря 2026 года
35%
$88,995 Объем
31 марта 2026
3%
30 июня 2026 года
9%
31 декабря 2026 года
35%
Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Открытие рынка: Oct 7, 2025, 1:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Narrow Republican House majority and conservative discontent over bipartisan deals drive trader consensus on Speaker Mike Johnson's job security. On December 20, the House passed a continuing resolution funding government through March 14, 2025, with strong Democratic support, stabilizing Johnson's position short-term and drawing President-elect Trump's endorsement. However, Freedom Caucus members like Chip Roy threatened ouster for relying on Democrats, though no motion to vacate has materialized and critic Matt Gaetz pledged no challenge. Odds reflect low near-term removal risk, but the January 3 new Congress speaker election looms as a key test amid fiscal fights and potential vacancies.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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