President Trump’s approval ratings have fallen to the mid-30s amid the ongoing conflict with Iran and broader economic concerns, producing a consistent 6- to 8-point Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot. Democrats have also flipped dozens of Republican-held seats in special elections since 2025 and benefited from an expanding list of GOP retirements. These trends have lifted trader expectations that the opposition party will capture the House and potentially the Senate in the November 2026 midterms, aligning with historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party. Upcoming developments such as further polling shifts or additional legislative actions could still alter the balance before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
$47,454 Объем
$47,454 Объем
30 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
$47,454 Объем
$47,454 Объем
30 нояб. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfPresident Trump’s approval ratings have fallen to the mid-30s amid the ongoing conflict with Iran and broader economic concerns, producing a consistent 6- to 8-point Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot. Democrats have also flipped dozens of Republican-held seats in special elections since 2025 and benefited from an expanding list of GOP retirements. These trends have lifted trader expectations that the opposition party will capture the House and potentially the Senate in the November 2026 midterms, aligning with historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party. Upcoming developments such as further polling shifts or additional legislative actions could still alter the balance before Election Day.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Открытие рынка: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Объем
$47,454Дата окончания
30 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfPresident Trump’s approval ratings have fallen to the mid-30s amid the ongoing conflict with Iran and broader economic concerns, producing a consistent 6- to 8-point Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot. Democrats have also flipped dozens of Republican-held seats in special elections since 2025 and benefited from an expanding list of GOP retirements. These trends have lifted trader expectations that the opposition party will capture the House and potentially the Senate in the November 2026 midterms, aligning with historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party. Upcoming developments such as further polling shifts or additional legislative actions could still alter the balance before Election Day.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Объем
$47,454Дата окончания
30 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s approval ratings have fallen to the mid-30s amid the ongoing conflict with Iran and broader economic concerns, producing a consistent 6- to 8-point Democratic advantage on the generic congressional ballot. Democrats have also flipped dozens of Republican-held seats in special elections since 2025 and benefited from an expanding list of GOP retirements. These trends have lifted trader expectations that the opposition party will capture the House and potentially the Senate in the November 2026 midterms, aligning with historical patterns of midterm losses for the president’s party. Upcoming developments such as further polling shifts or additional legislative actions could still alter the balance before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы