Traders price Republicans retaining 190-194 House seats at 38%, edging out below 190 at 31.5%, reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party—averaging 26 seats since World War II—against the GOP's current narrow 220-215 majority post-2024. This tight race stems from early generic ballot polls showing Democrats ahead by 2-4 points, vulnerable swing districts in battleground states like California, New York, and Pennsylvania, and anticipated retirements among vulnerable Republicans. Potential separation hinges on economic trends under the Trump administration, success of legislative priorities like tax cuts or border security, redistricting battles in key states, and turnout among base voters; primaries begin in early 2026, with full elections on November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоМеста в Республиканской палате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?
Места в Республиканской палате после промежуточных выборов 2026 года?
192 seats
190-194 36%
Менее 190 32%
195-199 12%
205-209 11%
$109,638 Объем
$109,638 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Менее 190
32%
190-194
36%
195-199
12%
200–204
8%
205-209
11%
210-214
1%
215-219
<1%
220-224
2%
225-229
2%
230+
1%
190-194 36%
Менее 190 32%
195-199 12%
205-209 11%
$109,638 Объем
$109,638 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Менее 190
$8,067 Объем
32%
190-194
$5,001 Объем
36%
195-199
$6,737 Объем
12%
200–204
$3,656 Объем
8%
205-209
$3,768 Объем
11%
210-214
$6,479 Объем
1%
215-219
$4,701 Объем
<1%
220-224
$50,072 Объем
2%
225-229
$18,650 Объем
2%
230+
$2,508 Объем
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Traders price Republicans retaining 190-194 House seats at 38%, edging out below 190 at 31.5%, reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party—averaging 26 seats since World War II—against the GOP's current narrow 220-215 majority post-2024. This tight race stems from early generic ballot polls showing Democrats ahead by 2-4 points, vulnerable swing districts in battleground states like California, New York, and Pennsylvania, and anticipated retirements among vulnerable Republicans. Potential separation hinges on economic trends under the Trump administration, success of legislative priorities like tax cuts or border security, redistricting battles in key states, and turnout among base voters; primaries begin in early 2026, with full elections on November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ET
Объем
$109,638Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Traders price Republicans retaining 190-194 House seats at 38%, edging out below 190 at 31.5%, reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party—averaging 26 seats since World War II—against the GOP's current narrow 220-215 majority post-2024. This tight race stems from early generic ballot polls showing Democrats ahead by 2-4 points, vulnerable swing districts in battleground states like California, New York, and Pennsylvania, and anticipated retirements among vulnerable Republicans. Potential separation hinges on economic trends under the Trump administration, success of legislative priorities like tax cuts or border security, redistricting battles in key states, and turnout among base voters; primaries begin in early 2026, with full elections on November 3.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US House of Representatives as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all US House of Representatives elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all US House of Representatives elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$109,638Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 18, 2025, 8:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders price Republicans retaining 190-194 House seats at 38%, edging out below 190 at 31.5%, reflecting historical midterm losses for the president's party—averaging 26 seats since World War II—against the GOP's current narrow 220-215 majority post-2024. This tight race stems from early generic ballot polls showing Democrats ahead by 2-4 points, vulnerable swing districts in battleground states like California, New York, and Pennsylvania, and anticipated retirements among vulnerable Republicans. Potential separation hinges on economic trends under the Trump administration, success of legislative priorities like tax cuts or border security, redistricting battles in key states, and turnout among base voters; primaries begin in early 2026, with full elections on November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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