Кандидат в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн 27 июля?
Трой Джексон 100.0%
Грэм Платнер <1%
Джаред Голден <1%
Челли Пингри <1%
$904,316 Объем
$904,316 Объем
27 июл. 2026 г.
Грэм Платнер
$143,051 Объем
Нет
Джаред Голден
$54,048 Объем
Нет
Челли Пингри
$7,842 Объем
Нет
Саундра Пеллетье
$13,225 Объем
Нет
Дэн Клебан
$34,277 Объем
Нет
Джанет Миллз
$36,974 Объем
Нет
Аарон Фрей
$2,911 Объем
Нет
Джордан Вуд
$24,079 Объем
Нет
Трой Джексон
$355,279 Объем
Да
Нирав Шах
$97,206 Объем
Нет
Шенна Беллоуз
$91,606 Объем
Нет
Пейдж Лауд
$3,395 Объем
Нет
Валли Гейгер
$30,783 Объем
Нет
Дэвид Костелло
$9,413 Объем
Нет
Элизабет Дикерсон
$227 Объем
Нет
Трой Джексон 100.0%
Грэм Платнер <1%
Джаред Голден <1%
Челли Пингри <1%
$904,316 Объем
$904,316 Объем
27 июл. 2026 г.
Грэм Платнер
$143,051 Объем
Нет
Джаред Голден
$54,048 Объем
Нет
Челли Пингри
$7,842 Объем
Нет
Саундра Пеллетье
$13,225 Объем
Нет
Дэн Клебан
$34,277 Объем
Нет
Джанет Миллз
$36,974 Объем
Нет
Аарон Фрей
$2,911 Объем
Нет
Джордан Вуд
$24,079 Объем
Нет
Трой Джексон
$355,279 Объем
Да
Нирав Шах
$97,206 Объем
Нет
Шенна Беллоуз
$91,606 Объем
Нет
Пейдж Лауд
$3,395 Объем
Нет
Валли Гейгер
$30,783 Объем
Нет
Дэвид Костелло
$9,413 Объем
Нет
Элизабет Дикерсон
$227 Объем
Нет
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Jul 26 2026
Maine Democratic delegates confirm Troy Jackson as nominee to face Susan Collins
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
Following the convention, Maine Democratic delegates reaffirmed their support for Troy Jackson as the nominee, setting up a high-profile general election against incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially nominated as Maine Democratic Senate candidate at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party nominating convention, Troy Jackson was officially selected as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially selected as Maine Democratic Senate nominee at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party's nominating convention, Troy Jackson won a near-unanimous vote to replace Graham Platner as the Senate nominee, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially chosen as Maine Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At a special nominating convention, Maine Democrats overwhelmingly selected Troy Jackson as their new Senate nominee to replace Graham Platner, setting him up to challenge incumbent Republican Susan Collins in the November election.
Jul 25 2026
Maine Democratic Party holds nominating convention, selects Troy Jackson as Senate nominee
Troy Jackson jumps to 100%9%
At a state party convention in Bangor, Maine, 601 delegates voted overwhelmingly to select Troy Jackson as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner for the U.S. Senate race.
Jul 21 2026
Troy Jackson consolidates support as frontrunner for Maine Democratic Senate nomination
Troy Jackson jumps to 91%12%
Troy Jackson emerged as the clear frontrunner for the Democratic nomination after other major candidates dropped out and he secured commitments from a large majority of delegates ahead of the convention.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson emerges as likely Maine Democratic Senate nominee as opponents drop out
Troy Jackson jumps to 86%7%
Troy Jackson gained overwhelming support among delegates and saw major opponents like Shenna Bellows and Jordan Wood drop out, consolidating his position as the frontrunner to replace Platner.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson gains momentum as top Maine Senate Democratic candidate after opponents drop out
Troy Jackson surges to 70%25%
Several major Democratic candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, consolidating support behind him and boosting his chances to become the nominee.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson effectively secures Maine Democratic Senate nomination with delegate support
Troy Jackson surges to 91%21%
Troy Jackson's preferred delegates won a majority of seats at county nominating meetings, effectively securing his nomination ahead of the official convention, which increased market confidence in his nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders drop out, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson surges to 79%43%
Several top candidates, including Nirav Shah and Jordan Wood, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, who emerged as the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders withdraw, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson jumps to 89%10%
Several top candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns, leaving Troy Jackson as the clear frontrunner with overwhelming delegate support ahead of the nominating convention. This caused Jackson's market price to surge.
Jul 18 2026
Maine counties hold delegate nominating meetings for Senate replacement convention
Yes rises to 78%3%
All 16 Maine counties conducted delegate nominating meetings to select 500 delegates who would participate in the July 25 convention to choose the new Democratic Senate nominee.
Jul 15 2026
Field of candidates emerges to replace Graham Platner as Maine Democratic Senate nominee
Following Platner's withdrawal, multiple Democrats filed to run as replacement candidates, initiating a competitive race for the party's nomination ahead of the July 27 deadline.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party finalizes process to select replacement nominee for Graham Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
Following Platner's withdrawal, the Maine Democratic Party announced a special nominating convention to be held on July 25, where delegates from all counties would vote to select the new Senate nominee.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party sets plan for nominating convention to replace Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
The Maine Democratic Party announced a plan to hold a nominating convention to select a new Senate nominee by July 27, following Platner's withdrawal. This announcement set the stage for a competitive replacement process.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally files paperwork to withdraw from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner officially submitted his withdrawal paperwork to the Maine Secretary of State, confirming his exit from the race and triggering the process for the Maine Democratic Party to select a replacement nominee by July 27.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally withdraws from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner submitted official paperwork to withdraw from the Senate race, confirming his exit and enabling the Maine Democratic Party to begin the process of selecting a replacement nominee. This formal withdrawal solidified the market's shift away from Platner.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner withdraws from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegations
Graham Platner dips to 0%4%
Graham Platner, the Democratic primary winner, ended his campaign following sexual assault allegations, which he denied. This triggered the Maine Democratic Party's process to select a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to collapse to zero.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner suspends Maine Senate campaign amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced he was suspending his campaign after a woman accused him of sexual assault, which he denied. This announcement initiated the process for the Maine Democratic Party to find a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to plummet.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner announces plan to withdraw from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced his intention to withdraw from the U.S. Senate race after facing a credible sexual assault allegation, which led to calls from Democratic leaders for him to step down, severely impacting his campaign viability.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a party nominee in Maine voluntarily withdraws from their election by July 13 at 5:00PM ET, their political party may replace them by July 27 at 5:00PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is the Maine Democratic Party's apparent nominee for the 2026 U.S. Senate election on July 27 at 11:59PM ET.
This market will consider Graham Platner to be the apparent nominee unless he withdraws from the election, voluntarily or otherwise. If Graham Platner has withdrawn from the election, an official announcement by the Maine Democratic Party that an individual has been chosen as the replacement nominee will qualify such individual as the apparent nominee, regardless of any subsequent legal steps that have yet to be confirmed.
In the event that there is not an apparent nominee in this election, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements of the results from the Maine Democratic Party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Предложенный исход: Нет
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Нет
Multiple Democratic contenders maintain near-even odds in this Maine Senate primary market, reflecting a fragmented field where no single candidate has consolidated broad support ahead of the July 27 resolution. Grassroots momentum for outsider candidates like Graham Platner and established figures such as Janet Mills or Jared Golden creates balanced trader assessments, while lower-priced options including Dan Kleban signal limited viability. Ranked-choice voting mechanics and recent primary endorsements have sustained the tight distribution, with separation likely hinging on late endorsements, turnout among key voting blocs, or shifts in polling within battleground areas. Historical patterns in similar multi-candidate Maine races show probabilities can adjust quickly on final-week developments.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Jul 26 2026
Maine Democratic delegates confirm Troy Jackson as nominee to face Susan Collins
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
Following the convention, Maine Democratic delegates reaffirmed their support for Troy Jackson as the nominee, setting up a high-profile general election against incumbent Republican Senator Susan Collins.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially nominated as Maine Democratic Senate candidate at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party nominating convention, Troy Jackson was officially selected as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially selected as Maine Democratic Senate nominee at party convention
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At the Maine Democratic Party's nominating convention, Troy Jackson won a near-unanimous vote to replace Graham Platner as the Senate nominee, solidifying his position and causing his market price to reach 100%.
Jul 25 2026
Troy Jackson officially chosen as Maine Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate
Troy Jackson rises to 100%1%
At a special nominating convention, Maine Democrats overwhelmingly selected Troy Jackson as their new Senate nominee to replace Graham Platner, setting him up to challenge incumbent Republican Susan Collins in the November election.
Jul 25 2026
Maine Democratic Party holds nominating convention, selects Troy Jackson as Senate nominee
Troy Jackson jumps to 100%9%
At a state party convention in Bangor, Maine, 601 delegates voted overwhelmingly to select Troy Jackson as the Democratic nominee to replace Graham Platner for the U.S. Senate race.
Jul 21 2026
Troy Jackson consolidates support as frontrunner for Maine Democratic Senate nomination
Troy Jackson jumps to 91%12%
Troy Jackson emerged as the clear frontrunner for the Democratic nomination after other major candidates dropped out and he secured commitments from a large majority of delegates ahead of the convention.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson emerges as likely Maine Democratic Senate nominee as opponents drop out
Troy Jackson jumps to 86%7%
Troy Jackson gained overwhelming support among delegates and saw major opponents like Shenna Bellows and Jordan Wood drop out, consolidating his position as the frontrunner to replace Platner.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson gains momentum as top Maine Senate Democratic candidate after opponents drop out
Troy Jackson surges to 70%25%
Several major Democratic candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, consolidating support behind him and boosting his chances to become the nominee.
Jul 19 2026
Troy Jackson effectively secures Maine Democratic Senate nomination with delegate support
Troy Jackson surges to 91%21%
Troy Jackson's preferred delegates won a majority of seats at county nominating meetings, effectively securing his nomination ahead of the official convention, which increased market confidence in his nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders drop out, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson surges to 79%43%
Several top candidates, including Nirav Shah and Jordan Wood, ended their campaigns and endorsed Troy Jackson, who emerged as the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination.
Jul 19 2026
Major Democratic contenders withdraw, consolidating support behind Troy Jackson
Troy Jackson jumps to 89%10%
Several top candidates, including Shenna Bellows and Nirav Shah, ended their campaigns, leaving Troy Jackson as the clear frontrunner with overwhelming delegate support ahead of the nominating convention. This caused Jackson's market price to surge.
Jul 18 2026
Maine counties hold delegate nominating meetings for Senate replacement convention
Yes rises to 78%3%
All 16 Maine counties conducted delegate nominating meetings to select 500 delegates who would participate in the July 25 convention to choose the new Democratic Senate nominee.
Jul 15 2026
Field of candidates emerges to replace Graham Platner as Maine Democratic Senate nominee
Following Platner's withdrawal, multiple Democrats filed to run as replacement candidates, initiating a competitive race for the party's nomination ahead of the July 27 deadline.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party finalizes process to select replacement nominee for Graham Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
Following Platner's withdrawal, the Maine Democratic Party announced a special nominating convention to be held on July 25, where delegates from all counties would vote to select the new Senate nominee.
Jul 13 2026
Maine Democratic Party sets plan for nominating convention to replace Platner
Yes jumps to 75%6%
The Maine Democratic Party announced a plan to hold a nominating convention to select a new Senate nominee by July 27, following Platner's withdrawal. This announcement set the stage for a competitive replacement process.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally files paperwork to withdraw from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner officially submitted his withdrawal paperwork to the Maine Secretary of State, confirming his exit from the race and triggering the process for the Maine Democratic Party to select a replacement nominee by July 27.
Jul 10 2026
Graham Platner formally withdraws from Maine Senate race
Graham Platner drops to 0%5%
Platner submitted official paperwork to withdraw from the Senate race, confirming his exit and enabling the Maine Democratic Party to begin the process of selecting a replacement nominee. This formal withdrawal solidified the market's shift away from Platner.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner withdraws from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegations
Graham Platner dips to 0%4%
Graham Platner, the Democratic primary winner, ended his campaign following sexual assault allegations, which he denied. This triggered the Maine Democratic Party's process to select a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to collapse to zero.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner suspends Maine Senate campaign amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced he was suspending his campaign after a woman accused him of sexual assault, which he denied. This announcement initiated the process for the Maine Democratic Party to find a replacement nominee, causing Platner's market price to plummet.
Jul 8 2026
Graham Platner announces plan to withdraw from Maine Senate race amid sexual assault allegation
Graham Platner plunges to 5%40%
Graham Platner announced his intention to withdraw from the U.S. Senate race after facing a credible sexual assault allegation, which led to calls from Democratic leaders for him to step down, severely impacting his campaign viability.
«Кандидат в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн 27 июля?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 15 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Трой Джексон» с 100%, за ним следует «Грэм Платнер» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.
На сегодняшний день «Кандидат в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн 27 июля?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $904.3K с момента запуска рынка Jul 6, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.
Чтобы торговать на «Кандидат в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн 27 июля?», просмотри 15 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.
Текущий фаворит для «Кандидат в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн 27 июля?» — «Трой Джексон» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Грэм Платнер» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.
Правила разрешения «Кандидат в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн 27 июля?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.
Да. Тебе не нужно торговать, чтобы оставаться в курсе. Эта страница служит трекером в реальном времени для «Кандидат в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн 27 июля?». Вероятности исходов обновляются в реальном времени по мере поступления новых сделок. Ты можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки и читать раздел комментариев, чтобы узнать мнение других трейдеров. Ты также можешь использовать фильтры временного диапазона на графике, чтобы увидеть, как менялись коэффициенты со временем.
Коэффициенты Polymarket устанавливаются реальными трейдерами, вкладывающими реальные деньги в свои убеждения, что обычно приводит к точным прогнозам. С объёмом торгов $904.3K по “Кандидат в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн 27 июля?” эти цены агрегируют коллективные знания и убеждённость тысяч участников — часто превосходя опросы, экспертные прогнозы и традиционные исследования. Рынки прогнозов, такие как Polymarket, имеют сильный послужной список точности, особенно когда события приближаются к дате разрешения. Например, месячный показатель точности Polymarket составляет 94%. Для получения последних статистических данных о точности прогнозов Polymarket посети страницу точности на Polymarket.
Чтобы совершить первую сделку на «Кандидат в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн 27 июля?», зарегистрируй бесплатный аккаунт на Polymarket и пополни его с помощью криптовалюты, кредитной или дебетовой карты или банковского перевода. После пополнения аккаунта вернись на эту страницу, выбери исход, на который хочешь торговать, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если ты новичок на рынках прогнозов, нажми на ссылку «Как это работает» вверху любой страницы Polymarket для пошагового руководства.
На Polymarket цена каждого исхода представляет подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Цена 100¢ для «Трой Джексон» на рынке «Кандидат в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн 27 июля?» означает, что трейдеры коллективно оценивают вероятность того, что «Трой Джексон» будет правильным результатом, примерно в 100%. Если ты купишь акции «Да» по 100¢ и исход окажется правильным, ты получишь $1,00 за акцию — прибыль 0¢ за акцию. Если нет — эти акции будут стоить $0.
Рынок «Кандидат в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн 27 июля?» разрешён. Окончательный результат определён, и рынок больше не открыт для торговли. Ты можешь просмотреть исторические коэффициенты, вероятности исходов и комментарии на этой странице.
Рынок «Кандидат в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн 27 июля?» имеет растущая дискуссия из 4 комментариев, где трейдеры делятся своим анализом, обсуждают исходы и последние события. Прокрути вниз до раздела комментариев, чтобы прочитать, что думают другие участники. Ты также можешь фильтровать по «Топ-держателям» или проверить вкладку «Активность» для ленты сделок в реальном времени.
Polymarket — крупнейший в мире рынок прогнозов, где ты можешь оставаться в курсе событий и зарабатывать на своих знаниях о реальных событиях. Трейдеры покупают и продают акции на исходы по темам от политики и выборов до криптовалют, финансов, спорта, технологий и культуры, включая рынки вроде «Кандидат в Сенат от Демократической партии штата Мэн 27 июля?». Цены отражают вероятности в реальном времени, подкреплённые финансовыми убеждениями, зачастую обеспечивая более быстрые и точные сигналы, чем опросы, эксперты или традиционные исследования.
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