In Alaska's open gubernatorial contest, where term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy cannot seek re-election, trader consensus gives former Democratic Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich a slim edge at 30.5% ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, driven by his 22% lead in the February Lake Research Partners poll and recent Southeast Alaska campaign stops highlighting revenue diversification, education funding, and ferry services. Democratic state Sen. Matt Claman (24.5%) and Republican Bruce Walden (24.5%) remain tightly bunched with Hank Kroll (22%) and others in a crowded field of 18 candidates, reflecting high undecideds (23% in latest poll) and fragmented support across parties. Endorsements from key figures, fundraising reports, or Republican consolidation could propel separation before the ranked-choice general election on November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Победитель выборов губернатора Аляски
Мэтт Кламан 48%
Брюс Уолден 48%
Хэнк Кролл 44%
Том Бегич 31%
$706,095 Объем
$706,095 Объем

Мэтт Кламан
48%

Брюс Уолден
48%

Хэнк Кролл
44%

Том Бегич
31%

Бернадетт Уилсон
22%

Джонатан Крайсс-Томкинс
20%

Трег Тейлор
10%

Нэнси Дальстром
10%

Эдна ДеВриз
10%

Клик Бишоп
5%

Лиза Мурковски
4%

Джеймс Паркин
4%

Дэвид Бронсон
4%

Шелли Хьюз
3%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Адам Крам
1%
Мэтт Кламан 48%
Брюс Уолден 48%
Хэнк Кролл 44%
Том Бегич 31%
$706,095 Объем
$706,095 Объем

Мэтт Кламан
48%

Брюс Уолден
48%

Хэнк Кролл
44%

Том Бегич
31%

Бернадетт Уилсон
22%

Джонатан Крайсс-Томкинс
20%

Трег Тейлор
10%

Нэнси Дальстром
10%

Эдна ДеВриз
10%

Клик Бишоп
5%

Лиза Мурковски
4%

Джеймс Паркин
4%

Дэвид Бронсон
4%

Шелли Хьюз
3%

Мэри Пэлтола
3%

Мэтт Хейлала
1%

Адам Крам
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Alaska's open gubernatorial contest, where term-limited Republican Gov. Mike Dunleavy cannot seek re-election, trader consensus gives former Democratic Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich a slim edge at 30.5% ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary, driven by his 22% lead in the February Lake Research Partners poll and recent Southeast Alaska campaign stops highlighting revenue diversification, education funding, and ferry services. Democratic state Sen. Matt Claman (24.5%) and Republican Bruce Walden (24.5%) remain tightly bunched with Hank Kroll (22%) and others in a crowded field of 18 candidates, reflecting high undecideds (23% in latest poll) and fragmented support across parties. Endorsements from key figures, fundraising reports, or Republican consolidation could propel separation before the ranked-choice general election on November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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