Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones lead trader sentiment to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, driven by the district's Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won 55.8% there in 2024—and a fragmented field of six Republicans splitting anti-incumbent votes. Recent FEC filings through March 31 revealed Jones raising $3.25 million since September 2025, edging Thompson's $2.99 million, though Thompson holds $2.56 million cash-on-hand and garnered the Sacramento Bee's May 3 endorsement praising his 27-year record on local issues like wine industry support and wildfire relief. Ballots have mailed with voting centers opening May 23; consolidated GOP turnout or low Democratic participation could shift dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$23,059 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
Майк Томпсон
98%
Эрик Джонс
91%
Хит Фулкерсон
12%
Тревор Мэррелл
12%
Джон Уэсли Тайлер
8%
Шэрон Браун
7%
Мэнди Гусар
6%
Лори Маккензи
4%
$23,059 Объем
Майк Томпсон
$7,050 Объем
98%
Эрик Джонс
$4,757 Объем
91%
Хит Фулкерсон
$396 Объем
12%
Тревор Мэррелл
$7,016 Объем
12%
Джон Уэсли Тайлер
$765 Объем
8%
Шэрон Браун
$1,621 Объем
7%
Мэнди Гусар
$744 Объем
6%
Лори Маккензи
$710 Объем
4%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones lead trader sentiment to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, driven by the district's Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won 55.8% there in 2024—and a fragmented field of six Republicans splitting anti-incumbent votes. Recent FEC filings through March 31 revealed Jones raising $3.25 million since September 2025, edging Thompson's $2.99 million, though Thompson holds $2.56 million cash-on-hand and garnered the Sacramento Bee's May 3 endorsement praising his 27-year record on local issues like wine industry support and wildfire relief. Ballots have mailed with voting centers opening May 23; consolidated GOP turnout or low Democratic participation could shift dynamics.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Объем
$23,059Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones lead trader sentiment to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, driven by the district's Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won 55.8% there in 2024—and a fragmented field of six Republicans splitting anti-incumbent votes. Recent FEC filings through March 31 revealed Jones raising $3.25 million since September 2025, edging Thompson's $2.99 million, though Thompson holds $2.56 million cash-on-hand and garnered the Sacramento Bee's May 3 endorsement praising his 27-year record on local issues like wine industry support and wildfire relief. Ballots have mailed with voting centers opening May 23; consolidated GOP turnout or low Democratic participation could shift dynamics.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$23,059Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson and challenger Eric Jones lead trader sentiment to advance from California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, driven by the district's Democratic lean—Kamala Harris won 55.8% there in 2024—and a fragmented field of six Republicans splitting anti-incumbent votes. Recent FEC filings through March 31 revealed Jones raising $3.25 million since September 2025, edging Thompson's $2.99 million, though Thompson holds $2.56 million cash-on-hand and garnered the Sacramento Bee's May 3 endorsement praising his 27-year record on local issues like wine industry support and wildfire relief. Ballots have mailed with voting centers opening May 23; consolidated GOP turnout or low Democratic participation could shift dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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