Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, a moderate veteran first elected in 1998, leads the crowded top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District on June 2, 2026, alongside strong Democratic challenger Eric Jones, who outraised him through December 2025 with $2.6 million in receipts despite Thompson's superior cash on hand. The district's D+17 Cook PVI and history of Democratic dominance—Thompson won 66.5% in 2024—favor one Democrat advancing, while fragmented Republicans like Raymond Riehle trail far behind in fundraising. Post-filing deadline on March 6, attention centers on the generational clash between Thompson's bipartisan record on wildfires, veterans, and wine industry aid versus Jones' progressive push for economic reforms and youth outreach, endorsed by Our Revolution. Early voting starts May 23, with registration deadlines May 18.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$19,523 Объем
Mike Thompson
96%
Eric Jones
95%
John Wesley Tyler
20%
Trevor Merrell
15%
Heath Fulkerson
8%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
6%
Sharon Brown
6%
$19,523 Объем
Mike Thompson
96%
Eric Jones
95%
John Wesley Tyler
20%
Trevor Merrell
15%
Heath Fulkerson
8%
Mandy Ghusar
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
6%
Sharon Brown
6%
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson, a moderate veteran first elected in 1998, leads the crowded top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District on June 2, 2026, alongside strong Democratic challenger Eric Jones, who outraised him through December 2025 with $2.6 million in receipts despite Thompson's superior cash on hand. The district's D+17 Cook PVI and history of Democratic dominance—Thompson won 66.5% in 2024—favor one Democrat advancing, while fragmented Republicans like Raymond Riehle trail far behind in fundraising. Post-filing deadline on March 6, attention centers on the generational clash between Thompson's bipartisan record on wildfires, veterans, and wine industry aid versus Jones' progressive push for economic reforms and youth outreach, endorsed by Our Revolution. Early voting starts May 23, with registration deadlines May 18.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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