Incumbent Mike Thompson leads the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District after redistricting shifted the seat's boundaries, facing a notable intra-party challenge from Eric Jones alongside multiple Republican candidates. Thompson, a longtime moderate Democrat, benefits from established fundraising and name recognition in the North Bay and Central Valley areas, while Jones, a businessman and nonprofit executive, has drawn support from progressive groups seeking to energize younger voters. Early vote tallies indicate Thompson and Jones as the top two finishers advancing to the November general regardless of party, with Republicans trailing in aggregate. The race reflects California's jungle primary rules and broader midterm dynamics, where official certification timelines and any remaining ballot processing could finalize the exact order.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$48,388 Объем
Шэрон Браун
Нет
Мэнди Гусар
Нет
Лори Маккензи
Нет
Джон Уэсли Тайлер
Нет
Майк Томпсон
Да
Хит Фулкерсон
Нет
Эрик Джонс
Да
Тревор Мэррелл
Нет
$48,388 Объем
Шэрон Браун
Нет
Мэнди Гусар
Нет
Лори Маккензи
Нет
Джон Уэсли Тайлер
Нет
Майк Томпсон
Да
Хит Фулкерсон
Нет
Эрик Джонс
Да
Тревор Мэррелл
Нет
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Предложенный исход: Да
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: Да
Incumbent Mike Thompson leads the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California's 4th Congressional District after redistricting shifted the seat's boundaries, facing a notable intra-party challenge from Eric Jones alongside multiple Republican candidates. Thompson, a longtime moderate Democrat, benefits from established fundraising and name recognition in the North Bay and Central Valley areas, while Jones, a businessman and nonprofit executive, has drawn support from progressive groups seeking to energize younger voters. Early vote tallies indicate Thompson and Jones as the top two finishers advancing to the November general regardless of party, with Republicans trailing in aggregate. The race reflects California's jungle primary rules and broader midterm dynamics, where official certification timelines and any remaining ballot processing could finalize the exact order.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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