Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Rep. Trent Kelly faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson and Libertarian Johnny Baucom in the November 3 general election. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary while Johnson secured his party’s nomination with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote. The district’s partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP. Historical turnout patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling shifts since the primaries reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as national economic conditions, candidate controversies, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a reversal unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMS-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MS-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$105,856 Объем
$105,856 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
95%
Демократическая партия
5%
$105,856 Объем
$105,856 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$77,424 Объем
95%
Демократическая партия
$28,432 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Rep. Trent Kelly faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson and Libertarian Johnny Baucom in the November 3 general election. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary while Johnson secured his party’s nomination with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote. The district’s partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP. Historical turnout patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling shifts since the primaries reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as national economic conditions, candidate controversies, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a reversal unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$105,856Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Rep. Trent Kelly faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson and Libertarian Johnny Baucom in the November 3 general election. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary while Johnson secured his party’s nomination with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote. The district’s partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP. Historical turnout patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling shifts since the primaries reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as national economic conditions, candidate controversies, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a reversal unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$105,856Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi’s 1st Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat, where incumbent Rep. Trent Kelly faces Democratic nominee Cliff Johnson and Libertarian Johnny Baucom in the November 3 general election. Kelly advanced unopposed in the March Republican primary while Johnson secured his party’s nomination with roughly two-thirds of the primary vote. The district’s partisan voting index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in prior cycles underpin trader consensus favoring the GOP. Historical turnout patterns, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of competitive polling shifts since the primaries reinforce this positioning. Late developments such as national economic conditions, candidate controversies, or unusually high Democratic mobilization could narrow the margin, though structural factors make a reversal unlikely.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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