Incumbent Rep. Trent Kelly (R-MS) commands trader consensus at 92% implied probability to win re-election in the solidly Republican MS-01 district (Cook PVI R+13), reflecting his proven incumbency advantage, dominant fundraising edge exceeding $1 million, and endorsements from former President Trump and local GOP leaders. Democratic challenger Brandon Perkins lags far behind in sparse polling averages and visibility, with minimal campaign infrastructure in this deep-red stronghold where Donald Trump carried over 65% in 2020. No major developments in the past 30 days—such as scandals, debates, or shifts in national House momentum—have altered the race dynamics ahead of the November 5 general election and early voting period. Late-breaking GOP controversies, health issues, or an improbable Democratic turnout surge in rural counties could theoretically shift odds, but traders discount these as remote risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоMS-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MS-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Trent Kelly (R-MS) commands trader consensus at 92% implied probability to win re-election in the solidly Republican MS-01 district (Cook PVI R+13), reflecting his proven incumbency advantage, dominant fundraising edge exceeding $1 million, and endorsements from former President Trump and local GOP leaders. Democratic challenger Brandon Perkins lags far behind in sparse polling averages and visibility, with minimal campaign infrastructure in this deep-red stronghold where Donald Trump carried over 65% in 2020. No major developments in the past 30 days—such as scandals, debates, or shifts in national House momentum—have altered the race dynamics ahead of the November 5 general election and early voting period. Late-breaking GOP controversies, health issues, or an improbable Democratic turnout surge in rural counties could theoretically shift odds, but traders discount these as remote risks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Trent Kelly (R-MS) commands trader consensus at 92% implied probability to win re-election in the solidly Republican MS-01 district (Cook PVI R+13), reflecting his proven incumbency advantage, dominant fundraising edge exceeding $1 million, and endorsements from former President Trump and local GOP leaders. Democratic challenger Brandon Perkins lags far behind in sparse polling averages and visibility, with minimal campaign infrastructure in this deep-red stronghold where Donald Trump carried over 65% in 2020. No major developments in the past 30 days—such as scandals, debates, or shifts in national House momentum—have altered the race dynamics ahead of the November 5 general election and early voting period. Late-breaking GOP controversies, health issues, or an improbable Democratic turnout surge in rural counties could theoretically shift odds, but traders discount these as remote risks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Trent Kelly (R-MS) commands trader consensus at 92% implied probability to win re-election in the solidly Republican MS-01 district (Cook PVI R+13), reflecting his proven incumbency advantage, dominant fundraising edge exceeding $1 million, and endorsements from former President Trump and local GOP leaders. Democratic challenger Brandon Perkins lags far behind in sparse polling averages and visibility, with minimal campaign infrastructure in this deep-red stronghold where Donald Trump carried over 65% in 2020. No major developments in the past 30 days—such as scandals, debates, or shifts in national House momentum—have altered the race dynamics ahead of the November 5 general election and early voting period. Late-breaking GOP controversies, health issues, or an improbable Democratic turnout surge in rural counties could theoretically shift odds, but traders discount these as remote risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы