Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10, 2026, primary has solidified his commanding position in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with an R+18 partisan voting index and consistent 68-73% general election margins in recent cycles. Cliff Johnson, an Ole Miss law professor who won the Democratic primary with 66%, faces steep structural barriers in this deep-red district spanning northeast Mississippi including Tupelo. Trader consensus at 92% for Republicans reflects Kelly's incumbency advantage, lack of serious intra-party challengers, and historical dominance, with low Democratic turnout typical in midterms. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, Kelly health issues, or an overwhelming national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоMS-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MS-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
92%
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10, 2026, primary has solidified his commanding position in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with an R+18 partisan voting index and consistent 68-73% general election margins in recent cycles. Cliff Johnson, an Ole Miss law professor who won the Democratic primary with 66%, faces steep structural barriers in this deep-red district spanning northeast Mississippi including Tupelo. Trader consensus at 92% for Republicans reflects Kelly's incumbency advantage, lack of serious intra-party challengers, and historical dominance, with low Democratic turnout typical in midterms. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, Kelly health issues, or an overwhelming national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10, 2026, primary has solidified his commanding position in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with an R+18 partisan voting index and consistent 68-73% general election margins in recent cycles. Cliff Johnson, an Ole Miss law professor who won the Democratic primary with 66%, faces steep structural barriers in this deep-red district spanning northeast Mississippi including Tupelo. Trader consensus at 92% for Republicans reflects Kelly's incumbency advantage, lack of serious intra-party challengers, and historical dominance, with low Democratic turnout typical in midterms. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, Kelly health issues, or an overwhelming national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Trent Kelly's unopposed victory in the March 10, 2026, primary has solidified his commanding position in Mississippi's 1st Congressional District, a safely Republican seat with an R+18 partisan voting index and consistent 68-73% general election margins in recent cycles. Cliff Johnson, an Ole Miss law professor who won the Democratic primary with 66%, faces steep structural barriers in this deep-red district spanning northeast Mississippi including Tupelo. Trader consensus at 92% for Republicans reflects Kelly's incumbency advantage, lack of serious intra-party challengers, and historical dominance, with low Democratic turnout typical in midterms. Realistic challenges would require a major scandal, Kelly health issues, or an overwhelming national Democratic wave before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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