South Dakota’s at-large House seat features a Republican primary on June 2, 2026, between frontrunner Marty Jackley and James Bialota, following incumbent Dusty Johnson’s retirement to run for governor. The state’s consistent Republican performance in federal contests, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the presence of a credible GOP nominee in the general election against Democrat Nicole Gronli and independent Jack Pittman underpin the market’s strong Republican consensus. The June primary outcome and any late shifts in turnout or candidate positioning remain the main variables that could influence final positioning before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей SD-AL
$16,931 Объем
$16,931 Объем
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
4%
$16,931 Объем
$16,931 Объем
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota’s at-large House seat features a Republican primary on June 2, 2026, between frontrunner Marty Jackley and James Bialota, following incumbent Dusty Johnson’s retirement to run for governor. The state’s consistent Republican performance in federal contests, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the presence of a credible GOP nominee in the general election against Democrat Nicole Gronli and independent Jack Pittman underpin the market’s strong Republican consensus. The June primary outcome and any late shifts in turnout or candidate positioning remain the main variables that could influence final positioning before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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