South Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3, 2026 general election Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the party's strong position. The Republican primary on June 2 features established figures such as state Attorney General Marty Jackley, while the Democratic nominee, Nicole Gronli, faces the structural challenge of competing in a state with limited Democratic infrastructure. Historical turnout patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or polling reinforce the current implied probability. A national political wave, nominee-specific scandal, or unusually elevated Democratic mobilization would be required to alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей SD-AL
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей SD-AL
$16,931 Объем
$16,931 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
5%
$16,931 Объем
$16,931 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$9,474 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$7,457 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3, 2026 general election Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the party's strong position. The Republican primary on June 2 features established figures such as state Attorney General Marty Jackley, while the Democratic nominee, Nicole Gronli, faces the structural challenge of competing in a state with limited Democratic infrastructure. Historical turnout patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or polling reinforce the current implied probability. A national political wave, nominee-specific scandal, or unusually elevated Democratic mobilization would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$16,931Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3, 2026 general election Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the party's strong position. The Republican primary on June 2 features established figures such as state Attorney General Marty Jackley, while the Democratic nominee, Nicole Gronli, faces the structural challenge of competing in a state with limited Democratic infrastructure. Historical turnout patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or polling reinforce the current implied probability. A national political wave, nominee-specific scandal, or unusually elevated Democratic mobilization would be required to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$16,931Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large congressional district maintains a pronounced Republican tilt, reflected in its R+15 partisan voter index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. Forecasters across outlets rate the November 3, 2026 general election Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with trader consensus on the party's strong position. The Republican primary on June 2 features established figures such as state Attorney General Marty Jackley, while the Democratic nominee, Nicole Gronli, faces the structural challenge of competing in a state with limited Democratic infrastructure. Historical turnout patterns and the absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or polling reinforce the current implied probability. A national political wave, nominee-specific scandal, or unusually elevated Democratic mobilization would be required to alter the outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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