South Dakota’s at-large congressional district carries an R+15 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open seat created by incumbent Dusty Johnson’s gubernatorial bid has drawn a competitive Republican primary on June 2 featuring Attorney General Marty Jackley, who leads polls by wide margins, against James Bialota. The Democratic primary was canceled, leaving Nikki Gronli as the general-election nominee for the November 3 contest. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s structural tilt and limited Democratic organizational presence. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the eventual GOP nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей SD-AL
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей SD-AL
$16,931 Объем
$16,931 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
5%
$16,931 Объем
$16,931 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$9,474 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$7,457 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district carries an R+15 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open seat created by incumbent Dusty Johnson’s gubernatorial bid has drawn a competitive Republican primary on June 2 featuring Attorney General Marty Jackley, who leads polls by wide margins, against James Bialota. The Democratic primary was canceled, leaving Nikki Gronli as the general-election nominee for the November 3 contest. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s structural tilt and limited Democratic organizational presence. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the eventual GOP nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$16,931Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota’s at-large congressional district carries an R+15 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open seat created by incumbent Dusty Johnson’s gubernatorial bid has drawn a competitive Republican primary on June 2 featuring Attorney General Marty Jackley, who leads polls by wide margins, against James Bialota. The Democratic primary was canceled, leaving Nikki Gronli as the general-election nominee for the November 3 contest. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s structural tilt and limited Democratic organizational presence. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the eventual GOP nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$16,931Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota’s at-large congressional district carries an R+15 partisan voter index and has delivered consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. The open seat created by incumbent Dusty Johnson’s gubernatorial bid has drawn a competitive Republican primary on June 2 featuring Attorney General Marty Jackley, who leads polls by wide margins, against James Bialota. The Democratic primary was canceled, leaving Nikki Gronli as the general-election nominee for the November 3 contest. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the district’s structural tilt and limited Democratic organizational presence. Trader consensus at 93.5 percent for the eventual GOP nominee aligns with these fundamentals, though a national Democratic surge or unusually low Republican turnout could narrow the margin.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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