In Virginia's 6th Congressional District, trader consensus tilts slightly toward the Republican Party at 50.5% implied probability, mirroring razor-thin polling averages that show Nick Freitas and Suhas Subramanyam tied or within 2 points across recent surveys like Emerson College (Freitas 48%, Subramanyam 46%) and Race to the WH trackers. This battleground seat, rated Toss-up by forecasters with a modest Republican base from Trump's +7 margin in 2020, remains deadlocked due to Freitas's post-primary momentum from ousted incumbent Bob Good's endorsement offsetting Subramanyam's fundraising superiority and state senate profile appealing to moderates. Surging early voting turnout heightens uncertainty; separation could stem from final ad spending disparities, national House control dynamics, or late absentee ballot trends before November 5 election night.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоVA-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
VA-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$22,452 Объем
$22,452 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
51%
Демократическая партия
49%
$22,452 Объем
$22,452 Объем
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$8,377 Объем
51%
Демократическая партия
$14,075 Объем
49%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Virginia's 6th Congressional District, trader consensus tilts slightly toward the Republican Party at 50.5% implied probability, mirroring razor-thin polling averages that show Nick Freitas and Suhas Subramanyam tied or within 2 points across recent surveys like Emerson College (Freitas 48%, Subramanyam 46%) and Race to the WH trackers. This battleground seat, rated Toss-up by forecasters with a modest Republican base from Trump's +7 margin in 2020, remains deadlocked due to Freitas's post-primary momentum from ousted incumbent Bob Good's endorsement offsetting Subramanyam's fundraising superiority and state senate profile appealing to moderates. Surging early voting turnout heightens uncertainty; separation could stem from final ad spending disparities, national House control dynamics, or late absentee ballot trends before November 5 election night.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$22,452Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Virginia's 6th Congressional District, trader consensus tilts slightly toward the Republican Party at 50.5% implied probability, mirroring razor-thin polling averages that show Nick Freitas and Suhas Subramanyam tied or within 2 points across recent surveys like Emerson College (Freitas 48%, Subramanyam 46%) and Race to the WH trackers. This battleground seat, rated Toss-up by forecasters with a modest Republican base from Trump's +7 margin in 2020, remains deadlocked due to Freitas's post-primary momentum from ousted incumbent Bob Good's endorsement offsetting Subramanyam's fundraising superiority and state senate profile appealing to moderates. Surging early voting turnout heightens uncertainty; separation could stem from final ad spending disparities, national House control dynamics, or late absentee ballot trends before November 5 election night.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$22,452Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Virginia's 6th Congressional District, trader consensus tilts slightly toward the Republican Party at 50.5% implied probability, mirroring razor-thin polling averages that show Nick Freitas and Suhas Subramanyam tied or within 2 points across recent surveys like Emerson College (Freitas 48%, Subramanyam 46%) and Race to the WH trackers. This battleground seat, rated Toss-up by forecasters with a modest Republican base from Trump's +7 margin in 2020, remains deadlocked due to Freitas's post-primary momentum from ousted incumbent Bob Good's endorsement offsetting Subramanyam's fundraising superiority and state senate profile appealing to moderates. Surging early voting turnout heightens uncertainty; separation could stem from final ad spending disparities, national House control dynamics, or late absentee ballot trends before November 5 election night.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы