California's 38th congressional district exhibits a pronounced Democratic tilt following 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50, placing the seat well outside competitive range for Republican challengers. Trader pricing at 94% for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's voter registration patterns and historical performance in similar Los Angeles County terrain. Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative with statewide name recognition, secured early state party backing and leads the June 2 primary field against other Democrats and Republican Pedro Casas. The November 3 general election is expected to feature minimal opposition once top-two candidates advance. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development, such as a major candidate withdrawal or unusually low Democratic turnout, would materially alter this outlook before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-38 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-38 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$57,402 Объем
$57,402 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
5%
$57,402 Объем
$57,402 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$28,855 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$28,547 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district exhibits a pronounced Democratic tilt following 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50, placing the seat well outside competitive range for Republican challengers. Trader pricing at 94% for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's voter registration patterns and historical performance in similar Los Angeles County terrain. Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative with statewide name recognition, secured early state party backing and leads the June 2 primary field against other Democrats and Republican Pedro Casas. The November 3 general election is expected to feature minimal opposition once top-two candidates advance. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development, such as a major candidate withdrawal or unusually low Democratic turnout, would materially alter this outlook before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$57,402Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th congressional district exhibits a pronounced Democratic tilt following 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50, placing the seat well outside competitive range for Republican challengers. Trader pricing at 94% for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's voter registration patterns and historical performance in similar Los Angeles County terrain. Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative with statewide name recognition, secured early state party backing and leads the June 2 primary field against other Democrats and Republican Pedro Casas. The November 3 general election is expected to feature minimal opposition once top-two candidates advance. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development, such as a major candidate withdrawal or unusually low Democratic turnout, would materially alter this outlook before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$57,402Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th congressional district exhibits a pronounced Democratic tilt following 2025 redistricting under Proposition 50, placing the seat well outside competitive range for Republican challengers. Trader pricing at 94% for a Democratic winner aligns with the district's voter registration patterns and historical performance in similar Los Angeles County terrain. Hilda Solis, a former U.S. representative with statewide name recognition, secured early state party backing and leads the June 2 primary field against other Democrats and Republican Pedro Casas. The November 3 general election is expected to feature minimal opposition once top-two candidates advance. Only an unforeseen late-cycle development, such as a major candidate withdrawal or unusually low Democratic turnout, would materially alter this outlook before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы