California’s 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results, which has anchored trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. The June 2 top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates, including high-profile entrant Hilda Solis with state party support, alongside one Republican contender; this setup raises the likelihood of a Democrat-versus-Democrat November matchup that would effectively lock in the party outcome. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. A Republican general-election win would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the established partisan baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-38 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-38 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$57,402 Объем
$57,402 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
94%
Республиканская партия
5%
$57,402 Объем
$57,402 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$28,855 Объем
94%
Республиканская партия
$28,547 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results, which has anchored trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. The June 2 top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates, including high-profile entrant Hilda Solis with state party support, alongside one Republican contender; this setup raises the likelihood of a Democrat-versus-Democrat November matchup that would effectively lock in the party outcome. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. A Republican general-election win would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Объем
$57,402Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results, which has anchored trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. The June 2 top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates, including high-profile entrant Hilda Solis with state party support, alongside one Republican contender; this setup raises the likelihood of a Democrat-versus-Democrat November matchup that would effectively lock in the party outcome. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. A Republican general-election win would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the established partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$57,402Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 38th congressional district carries a strong Democratic lean reflected in its partisan voting index and historical results, which has anchored trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the November 2026 general election. The June 2 top-two primary features multiple Democratic candidates, including high-profile entrant Hilda Solis with state party support, alongside one Republican contender; this setup raises the likelihood of a Democrat-versus-Democrat November matchup that would effectively lock in the party outcome. Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Democratic, consistent with the district’s structural advantages and limited Republican infrastructure. A Republican general-election win would require an unprecedented shift in voter turnout or late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the established partisan baseline.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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