Rep. Barry Moore's commanding lead in the latest Peak Insights poll (April 11-13), capturing 34% among likely Republican voters—double-digits ahead of Attorney General Steve Marshall (16%) and Jared Hudson (12%)—with 32% undecided, has solidified trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the May 19 Alabama GOP Senate primary winner. President Trump's early "complete and total" endorsement continues propelling Moore's momentum among the base in this open-seat race, amplified by his Q1 fundraising edge over Marshall and competitive totals against Hudson. A runoff looms absent a 50% majority, where Moore leads hypotheticals 47-27%, though late voter consolidation or scandals could shift dynamics before ballots drop.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоБарри Мур 90%
Джаред Хадсон 6.0%
Стив Маршалл 3.2%
Морган Мерфи <1%
$58,253 Объем
$58,253 Объем
19 мая 2026 г.
Барри Мур
90%
Джаред Хадсон
6%
Стив Маршалл
3%
Морган Мерфи
1%
Родни Уокер
<1%
Барри Мур 90%
Джаред Хадсон 6.0%
Стив Маршалл 3.2%
Морган Мерфи <1%
$58,253 Объем
$58,253 Объем
19 мая 2026 г.
Барри Мур
$16,042 Объем
90%
Джаред Хадсон
$3,502 Объем
6%
Стив Маршалл
$11,972 Объем
3%
Морган Мерфи
$23,838 Объем
1%
Родни Уокер
$2,899 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.
If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Barry Moore's commanding lead in the latest Peak Insights poll (April 11-13), capturing 34% among likely Republican voters—double-digits ahead of Attorney General Steve Marshall (16%) and Jared Hudson (12%)—with 32% undecided, has solidified trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the May 19 Alabama GOP Senate primary winner. President Trump's early "complete and total" endorsement continues propelling Moore's momentum among the base in this open-seat race, amplified by his Q1 fundraising edge over Marshall and competitive totals against Hudson. A runoff looms absent a 50% majority, where Moore leads hypotheticals 47-27%, though late voter consolidation or scandals could shift dynamics before ballots drop.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.
If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Открытие рынка: Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ET
Объем
$58,253Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.
If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Rep. Barry Moore's commanding lead in the latest Peak Insights poll (April 11-13), capturing 34% among likely Republican voters—double-digits ahead of Attorney General Steve Marshall (16%) and Jared Hudson (12%)—with 32% undecided, has solidified trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the May 19 Alabama GOP Senate primary winner. President Trump's early "complete and total" endorsement continues propelling Moore's momentum among the base in this open-seat race, amplified by his Q1 fundraising edge over Marshall and competitive totals against Hudson. A runoff looms absent a 50% majority, where Moore leads hypotheticals 47-27%, though late voter consolidation or scandals could shift dynamics before ballots drop.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Alabama.
If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Alabama Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Alabama Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Объем
$58,253Дата окончания
19 мая 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 13, 2025, 1:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Rep. Barry Moore's commanding lead in the latest Peak Insights poll (April 11-13), capturing 34% among likely Republican voters—double-digits ahead of Attorney General Steve Marshall (16%) and Jared Hudson (12%)—with 32% undecided, has solidified trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the May 19 Alabama GOP Senate primary winner. President Trump's early "complete and total" endorsement continues propelling Moore's momentum among the base in this open-seat race, amplified by his Q1 fundraising edge over Marshall and competitive totals against Hudson. A runoff looms absent a 50% majority, where Moore leads hypotheticals 47-27%, though late voter consolidation or scandals could shift dynamics before ballots drop.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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