The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball underpin the Republican Party's strong trader consensus. Incumbent Tom Tiffany's decision to run for governor created an open seat, prompting a competitive GOP primary with multiple candidates backed by significant outside spending, while Democrats field a smaller primary slate ahead of their August 11 vote. No recent polling or events have altered the structural Republican advantage heading into the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоWI-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$19,022 Объем
$19,022 Объем
Республиканская партия
84%
Демократическая партия
16%
$19,022 Объем
$19,022 Объем
Республиканская партия
84%
Демократическая партия
16%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voter Index and unanimous "Solid Republican" or "Safe Republican" ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball underpin the Republican Party's strong trader consensus. Incumbent Tom Tiffany's decision to run for governor created an open seat, prompting a competitive GOP primary with multiple candidates backed by significant outside spending, while Democrats field a smaller primary slate ahead of their August 11 vote. No recent polling or events have altered the structural Republican advantage heading into the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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