Incumbent Republican Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a GOP win, anchored by the district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Joyce's consistent double-digit margins, including a decisive 2024 victory over Democrat Beth Farnham. Recent filings—Joyce's nominating petitions on March 12 and Farnham's signature drive on March 10—solidify a likely rematch, with no competitive polling or primary challengers emerging ahead of the May 19 primaries. While odds imply high certainty, a Joyce scandal, health issue, or unexpected strong Democratic nominee could shift sentiment, though the district's conservative rural base and incumbency advantage pose significant barriers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоPA-13 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
PA-13 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
93%
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a GOP win, anchored by the district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Joyce's consistent double-digit margins, including a decisive 2024 victory over Democrat Beth Farnham. Recent filings—Joyce's nominating petitions on March 12 and Farnham's signature drive on March 10—solidify a likely rematch, with no competitive polling or primary challengers emerging ahead of the May 19 primaries. While odds imply high certainty, a Joyce scandal, health issue, or unexpected strong Democratic nominee could shift sentiment, though the district's conservative rural base and incumbency advantage pose significant barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a GOP win, anchored by the district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Joyce's consistent double-digit margins, including a decisive 2024 victory over Democrat Beth Farnham. Recent filings—Joyce's nominating petitions on March 12 and Farnham's signature drive on March 10—solidify a likely rematch, with no competitive polling or primary challengers emerging ahead of the May 19 primaries. While odds imply high certainty, a Joyce scandal, health issue, or unexpected strong Democratic nominee could shift sentiment, though the district's conservative rural base and incumbency advantage pose significant barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. John Joyce's commanding position in Pennsylvania's 13th Congressional District drives the 92.5% trader consensus for a GOP win, anchored by the district's R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Joyce's consistent double-digit margins, including a decisive 2024 victory over Democrat Beth Farnham. Recent filings—Joyce's nominating petitions on March 12 and Farnham's signature drive on March 10—solidify a likely rematch, with no competitive polling or primary challengers emerging ahead of the May 19 primaries. While odds imply high certainty, a Joyce scandal, health issue, or unexpected strong Democratic nominee could shift sentiment, though the district's conservative rural base and incumbency advantage pose significant barriers.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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