The Texas 10th congressional district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and long-term electoral history, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Michael McCaul’s retirement after two decades opened the seat, prompting a crowded March 3 Republican primary that Chris Gober won outright with a narrow majority, avoiding a runoff and consolidating party support ahead of the general election. On the Democratic side, Caitlin Rourk advanced from her primary to face Gober on November 3. With the district rated solidly Republican by major forecasters and no major late-cycle shifts reported, traders assign an 83 percent probability to a Republican outcome while pricing in the limited but present chance for Democratic gains in a high-turnout environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоTX-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$14,624 Объем
$14,624 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
83%
Демократическая партия
16%
$14,624 Объем
$14,624 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$5,772 Объем
83%
Демократическая партия
$8,852 Объем
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 10th congressional district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and long-term electoral history, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Michael McCaul’s retirement after two decades opened the seat, prompting a crowded March 3 Republican primary that Chris Gober won outright with a narrow majority, avoiding a runoff and consolidating party support ahead of the general election. On the Democratic side, Caitlin Rourk advanced from her primary to face Gober on November 3. With the district rated solidly Republican by major forecasters and no major late-cycle shifts reported, traders assign an 83 percent probability to a Republican outcome while pricing in the limited but present chance for Democratic gains in a high-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$14,624Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Texas 10th congressional district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and long-term electoral history, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Michael McCaul’s retirement after two decades opened the seat, prompting a crowded March 3 Republican primary that Chris Gober won outright with a narrow majority, avoiding a runoff and consolidating party support ahead of the general election. On the Democratic side, Caitlin Rourk advanced from her primary to face Gober on November 3. With the district rated solidly Republican by major forecasters and no major late-cycle shifts reported, traders assign an 83 percent probability to a Republican outcome while pricing in the limited but present chance for Democratic gains in a high-turnout environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$14,624Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Texas 10th congressional district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its partisan voting index and long-term electoral history, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee in the November 2026 general election. Michael McCaul’s retirement after two decades opened the seat, prompting a crowded March 3 Republican primary that Chris Gober won outright with a narrow majority, avoiding a runoff and consolidating party support ahead of the general election. On the Democratic side, Caitlin Rourk advanced from her primary to face Gober on November 3. With the district rated solidly Republican by major forecasters and no major late-cycle shifts reported, traders assign an 83 percent probability to a Republican outcome while pricing in the limited but present chance for Democratic gains in a high-turnout environment.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы