Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's unopposed win in the March 17 Democratic primary has reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the D+3 Illinois 14th District, where she secured 55.1% in her last general election victory over GOP nominee James Marter, the same challenger she defeated previously. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, bolstered by Underwood's $1.17 million cash-on-hand advantage over Marter's $34,000 and the district's consistent Democratic lean in presidential voting. With no public polling yet, markets price Democrats at 91.5% amid low GOP primary turnout signaling weak opposition. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues, or a strong Republican midterm wave before November's general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-14
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей IL-14
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
92%
Республиканская партия
8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
92%
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's unopposed win in the March 17 Democratic primary has reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the D+3 Illinois 14th District, where she secured 55.1% in her last general election victory over GOP nominee James Marter, the same challenger she defeated previously. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, bolstered by Underwood's $1.17 million cash-on-hand advantage over Marter's $34,000 and the district's consistent Democratic lean in presidential voting. With no public polling yet, markets price Democrats at 91.5% amid low GOP primary turnout signaling weak opposition. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues, or a strong Republican midterm wave before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's unopposed win in the March 17 Democratic primary has reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the D+3 Illinois 14th District, where she secured 55.1% in her last general election victory over GOP nominee James Marter, the same challenger she defeated previously. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, bolstered by Underwood's $1.17 million cash-on-hand advantage over Marter's $34,000 and the district's consistent Democratic lean in presidential voting. With no public polling yet, markets price Democrats at 91.5% amid low GOP primary turnout signaling weak opposition. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues, or a strong Republican midterm wave before November's general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's unopposed win in the March 17 Democratic primary has reinforced trader consensus on a Democratic hold in the D+3 Illinois 14th District, where she secured 55.1% in her last general election victory over GOP nominee James Marter, the same challenger she defeated previously. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, bolstered by Underwood's $1.17 million cash-on-hand advantage over Marter's $34,000 and the district's consistent Democratic lean in presidential voting. With no public polling yet, markets price Democrats at 91.5% amid low GOP primary turnout signaling weak opposition. Upsets remain possible via scandals, health issues, or a strong Republican midterm wave before November's general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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