California's 50th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent voter registration advantages. Incumbent Representative Scott Peters secured reelection in 2024 with a wide margin, and the district's coastal San Diego demographics and post-Prop 50 redistricting have reinforced this positioning ahead of the 2026 general election. With no major Republican challengers declared and primary ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory. Potential shifts remain limited to an unusually strong national Republican wave or late candidate emergence, though structural factors make such reversals improbable within the current cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоCA-50 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
CA-50 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$34,736 Объем
$34,736 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
7%
$34,736 Объем
$34,736 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$19,413 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$15,322 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 50th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent voter registration advantages. Incumbent Representative Scott Peters secured reelection in 2024 with a wide margin, and the district's coastal San Diego demographics and post-Prop 50 redistricting have reinforced this positioning ahead of the 2026 general election. With no major Republican challengers declared and primary ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory. Potential shifts remain limited to an unusually strong national Republican wave or late candidate emergence, though structural factors make such reversals improbable within the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Объем
$34,736Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 50th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent voter registration advantages. Incumbent Representative Scott Peters secured reelection in 2024 with a wide margin, and the district's coastal San Diego demographics and post-Prop 50 redistricting have reinforced this positioning ahead of the 2026 general election. With no major Republican challengers declared and primary ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory. Potential shifts remain limited to an unusually strong national Republican wave or late candidate emergence, though structural factors make such reversals improbable within the current cycle.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-50 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$34,736Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 50th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+16 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent voter registration advantages. Incumbent Representative Scott Peters secured reelection in 2024 with a wide margin, and the district's coastal San Diego demographics and post-Prop 50 redistricting have reinforced this positioning ahead of the 2026 general election. With no major Republican challengers declared and primary ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic, traders assign overwhelming probability to a Democratic victory. Potential shifts remain limited to an unusually strong national Republican wave or late candidate emergence, though structural factors make such reversals improbable within the current cycle.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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