Louisiana's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 90.5 percent. Incumbent Steve Scalise secured reelection with 66.8 percent in 2024, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Democratic nominee Lauren Jewett faces structural challenges in a district spanning New Orleans suburbs and the Mississippi River Delta, while Republican primary challengers such as Randall Arrington have not shifted expectations. Primary voting occurs in May 2026 with the general election in November. A major scandal, significant health event involving the incumbent, or unusually large national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate positioning limit such shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-01
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей LA-01
$37,589 Объем
$37,589 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
91%
Демократическая партия
9%
$37,589 Объем
$37,589 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$16,094 Объем
91%
Демократическая партия
$21,495 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 90.5 percent. Incumbent Steve Scalise secured reelection with 66.8 percent in 2024, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Democratic nominee Lauren Jewett faces structural challenges in a district spanning New Orleans suburbs and the Mississippi River Delta, while Republican primary challengers such as Randall Arrington have not shifted expectations. Primary voting occurs in May 2026 with the general election in November. A major scandal, significant health event involving the incumbent, or unusually large national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate positioning limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$37,589Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Louisiana's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 90.5 percent. Incumbent Steve Scalise secured reelection with 66.8 percent in 2024, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Democratic nominee Lauren Jewett faces structural challenges in a district spanning New Orleans suburbs and the Mississippi River Delta, while Republican primary challengers such as Randall Arrington have not shifted expectations. Primary voting occurs in May 2026 with the general election in November. A major scandal, significant health event involving the incumbent, or unusually large national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate positioning limit such shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$37,589Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Louisiana's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 90.5 percent. Incumbent Steve Scalise secured reelection with 66.8 percent in 2024, and independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. Democratic nominee Lauren Jewett faces structural challenges in a district spanning New Orleans suburbs and the Mississippi River Delta, while Republican primary challengers such as Randall Arrington have not shifted expectations. Primary voting occurs in May 2026 with the general election in November. A major scandal, significant health event involving the incumbent, or unusually large national partisan swing could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current candidate positioning limit such shifts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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