Missouri’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, the district has delivered consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by its rural and suburban voter base across western Missouri. Incumbent Mark Alford, who secured the seat in 2022 and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the August 4 contest, benefits from name recognition and established fundraising. Democratic candidates remain limited in visibility and resources for the November general election. While late developments such as an unexpected primary surprise or major national political shift could alter the trajectory, historical patterns and structural advantages make significant movement in the outcome unlikely before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMO-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MO-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$31,204 Объем
$31,204 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
93%
Демократическая партия
7%
$31,204 Объем
$31,204 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$17,284 Объем
93%
Демократическая партия
$13,920 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, the district has delivered consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by its rural and suburban voter base across western Missouri. Incumbent Mark Alford, who secured the seat in 2022 and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the August 4 contest, benefits from name recognition and established fundraising. Democratic candidates remain limited in visibility and resources for the November general election. While late developments such as an unexpected primary surprise or major national political shift could alter the trajectory, historical patterns and structural advantages make significant movement in the outcome unlikely before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$31,204Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, the district has delivered consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by its rural and suburban voter base across western Missouri. Incumbent Mark Alford, who secured the seat in 2022 and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the August 4 contest, benefits from name recognition and established fundraising. Democratic candidates remain limited in visibility and resources for the November general election. While late developments such as an unexpected primary surprise or major national political shift could alter the trajectory, historical patterns and structural advantages make significant movement in the outcome unlikely before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$31,204Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt that underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee. Rated Solid Republican by major forecasters, the district has delivered consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by its rural and suburban voter base across western Missouri. Incumbent Mark Alford, who secured the seat in 2022 and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the August 4 contest, benefits from name recognition and established fundraising. Democratic candidates remain limited in visibility and resources for the November general election. While late developments such as an unexpected primary surprise or major national political shift could alter the trajectory, historical patterns and structural advantages make significant movement in the outcome unlikely before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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