Texas's 22nd Congressional District remains a Safe Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings, with its R+15 partisan voting index and suburban Houston demographics fueling trader consensus at 87.5% odds for the GOP incumbent Rep. Troy Nehls. Nehls' prior 2022 victory by six points and fundraising superiority over Democratic challenger Dr. Elba Garcia reinforce this positioning. Early voting began October 21 amid high statewide turnout expectations, but no Democratic surges or polling shifts have emerged in recent weeks to challenge the status quo. Absent competitive surveys, probabilities align with historical incumbency advantages and GOP House retention paths in battleground districts. Election Day looms November 5.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоTX-22 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
TX-22 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
88%
Демократическая партия
13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Республиканская партия
$0 Объем
88%
Демократическая партия
$0 Объем
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd Congressional District remains a Safe Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings, with its R+15 partisan voting index and suburban Houston demographics fueling trader consensus at 87.5% odds for the GOP incumbent Rep. Troy Nehls. Nehls' prior 2022 victory by six points and fundraising superiority over Democratic challenger Dr. Elba Garcia reinforce this positioning. Early voting began October 21 amid high statewide turnout expectations, but no Democratic surges or polling shifts have emerged in recent weeks to challenge the status quo. Absent competitive surveys, probabilities align with historical incumbency advantages and GOP House retention paths in battleground districts. Election Day looms November 5.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 22nd Congressional District remains a Safe Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings, with its R+15 partisan voting index and suburban Houston demographics fueling trader consensus at 87.5% odds for the GOP incumbent Rep. Troy Nehls. Nehls' prior 2022 victory by six points and fundraising superiority over Democratic challenger Dr. Elba Garcia reinforce this positioning. Early voting began October 21 amid high statewide turnout expectations, but no Democratic surges or polling shifts have emerged in recent weeks to challenge the status quo. Absent competitive surveys, probabilities align with historical incumbency advantages and GOP House retention paths in battleground districts. Election Day looms November 5.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$0Дата окончания
Nov 3, 2026Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 22nd Congressional District remains a Safe Republican seat per Cook Political Report ratings, with its R+15 partisan voting index and suburban Houston demographics fueling trader consensus at 87.5% odds for the GOP incumbent Rep. Troy Nehls. Nehls' prior 2022 victory by six points and fundraising superiority over Democratic challenger Dr. Elba Garcia reinforce this positioning. Early voting began October 21 amid high statewide turnout expectations, but no Democratic surges or polling shifts have emerged in recent weeks to challenge the status quo. Absent competitive surveys, probabilities align with historical incumbency advantages and GOP House retention paths in battleground districts. Election Day looms November 5.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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