**Republican traders hold a commanding 91.5% implied probability** in the MO-07 House election winner market, driven by incumbent Eric Burlison's landslide victory on November 5, securing 72.9% of the vote against Democrat Dave Stanford's 24.8% in this deep-red district (Cook PVI R+25). Finalized vote counts from the Springfield-anchored 7th district, with no recounts, fraud claims, or legal challenges filed, cement the outcome amid historically strong GOP turnout and incumbency advantages. Pre-election polls forecasted this 30+ point margin, reflecting minimal Democratic path-to-victory in a battleground-free safe Republican seat. Reversal would require unprecedented events like verified irregularities triggering certification disputes or court rulings before January seating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоMO-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MO-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
7%
Республиканская партия
92%
Демократическая партия
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican traders hold a commanding 91.5% implied probability** in the MO-07 House election winner market, driven by incumbent Eric Burlison's landslide victory on November 5, securing 72.9% of the vote against Democrat Dave Stanford's 24.8% in this deep-red district (Cook PVI R+25). Finalized vote counts from the Springfield-anchored 7th district, with no recounts, fraud claims, or legal challenges filed, cement the outcome amid historically strong GOP turnout and incumbency advantages. Pre-election polls forecasted this 30+ point margin, reflecting minimal Democratic path-to-victory in a battleground-free safe Republican seat. Reversal would require unprecedented events like verified irregularities triggering certification disputes or court rulings before January seating.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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