Missouri’s 7th congressional district, anchored in southwest Missouri including Springfield, Joplin, and Branson, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and the incumbent’s 71.5% victory in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with limited Democratic recruitment and modest fundraising on that side ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would narrow the margin. A realistic shift would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, a significant scandal affecting the incumbent, or sustained turnout advantages that have not materialized in recent cycles for this district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMO-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MO-07 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$19,120 Объем
$19,120 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
94%
Демократическая партия
6%
$19,120 Объем
$19,120 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$15,755 Объем
94%
Демократическая партия
$3,365 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 7th congressional district, anchored in southwest Missouri including Springfield, Joplin, and Branson, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and the incumbent’s 71.5% victory in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with limited Democratic recruitment and modest fundraising on that side ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would narrow the margin. A realistic shift would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, a significant scandal affecting the incumbent, or sustained turnout advantages that have not materialized in recent cycles for this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$19,120Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 7th congressional district, anchored in southwest Missouri including Springfield, Joplin, and Branson, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and the incumbent’s 71.5% victory in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with limited Democratic recruitment and modest fundraising on that side ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would narrow the margin. A realistic shift would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, a significant scandal affecting the incumbent, or sustained turnout advantages that have not materialized in recent cycles for this district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$19,120Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 7th congressional district, anchored in southwest Missouri including Springfield, Joplin, and Branson, carries a strong Republican tilt reflected in its R+21 partisan voting index and the incumbent’s 71.5% victory in the prior cycle. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with limited Democratic recruitment and modest fundraising on that side ahead of the August primaries and November general election. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican nominee aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or recent events that would narrow the margin. A realistic shift would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, a significant scandal affecting the incumbent, or sustained turnout advantages that have not materialized in recent cycles for this district.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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