The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican presidential margins above 30 points establish a structural foundation that has kept Republican odds above 90 percent. Incumbent Michelle Fischbach secured the party endorsement for the August 11 primary and enters the November 3 general election with strong name recognition after prior victories exceeding 70 percent. The Democratic primary field of Jared Adams, Heather Keeler, and Erik Osberg has shown limited fundraising and visibility, leaving no immediate threat to the seat. While an upset would require either a substantial national Democratic wave or a late shift in voter turnout patterns, the current trader consensus reflects these entrenched geographic and incumbency advantages.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-07
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-07
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
91%
Демократическая партия
10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Республиканская партия
$827 Объем
91%
Демократическая партия
$3,891 Объем
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican presidential margins above 30 points establish a structural foundation that has kept Republican odds above 90 percent. Incumbent Michelle Fischbach secured the party endorsement for the August 11 primary and enters the November 3 general election with strong name recognition after prior victories exceeding 70 percent. The Democratic primary field of Jared Adams, Heather Keeler, and Erik Osberg has shown limited fundraising and visibility, leaving no immediate threat to the seat. While an upset would require either a substantial national Democratic wave or a late shift in voter turnout patterns, the current trader consensus reflects these entrenched geographic and incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$4,718Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican presidential margins above 30 points establish a structural foundation that has kept Republican odds above 90 percent. Incumbent Michelle Fischbach secured the party endorsement for the August 11 primary and enters the November 3 general election with strong name recognition after prior victories exceeding 70 percent. The Democratic primary field of Jared Adams, Heather Keeler, and Erik Osberg has shown limited fundraising and visibility, leaving no immediate threat to the seat. While an upset would require either a substantial national Democratic wave or a late shift in voter turnout patterns, the current trader consensus reflects these entrenched geographic and incumbency advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$4,718Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s R+18 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Republican presidential margins above 30 points establish a structural foundation that has kept Republican odds above 90 percent. Incumbent Michelle Fischbach secured the party endorsement for the August 11 primary and enters the November 3 general election with strong name recognition after prior victories exceeding 70 percent. The Democratic primary field of Jared Adams, Heather Keeler, and Erik Osberg has shown limited fundraising and visibility, leaving no immediate threat to the seat. While an upset would require either a substantial national Democratic wave or a late shift in voter turnout patterns, the current trader consensus reflects these entrenched geographic and incumbency advantages.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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