Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and House voting patterns that has produced margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured 74.4% of the vote in the 2024 general election and filed for reelection ahead of the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Julie Le and Latonya Reeves. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing limited Republican infrastructure and the district's urban Minneapolis core. Trader consensus for a Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage, though a significant incumbent scandal or extraordinary national Republican wave could narrow the gap before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-05
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-05
$36,996 Объем
$36,996 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
95%
Республиканская партия
3%
$36,996 Объем
$36,996 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Демократическая партия
$15,719 Объем
95%
Республиканская партия
$21,277 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and House voting patterns that has produced margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured 74.4% of the vote in the 2024 general election and filed for reelection ahead of the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Julie Le and Latonya Reeves. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing limited Republican infrastructure and the district's urban Minneapolis core. Trader consensus for a Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage, though a significant incumbent scandal or extraordinary national Republican wave could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$36,996Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and House voting patterns that has produced margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured 74.4% of the vote in the 2024 general election and filed for reelection ahead of the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Julie Le and Latonya Reeves. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing limited Republican infrastructure and the district's urban Minneapolis core. Trader consensus for a Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage, though a significant incumbent scandal or extraordinary national Republican wave could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$36,996Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's 5th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+32, reflecting consistent Democratic dominance in presidential and House voting patterns that has produced margins exceeding 40 points in recent cycles. Incumbent Ilhan Omar secured 74.4% of the vote in the 2024 general election and filed for reelection ahead of the August 11, 2026 Democratic primary against challengers including Julie Le and Latonya Reeves. Forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, citing limited Republican infrastructure and the district's urban Minneapolis core. Trader consensus for a Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage, though a significant incumbent scandal or extraordinary national Republican wave could narrow the gap before the November general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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